Metz vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Metz
15/02/2026 11:15
Auxerre

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

There could be some reorganization in the bottom three of the French Ligue 1 this weekend as Metz and Auxerre face off. Home team Metz come into the game bottom of the standings and Auxerre 16th. Let's have a look at our prediction of the match.

Metz managed to hold off their losing run last time out as they drew 0-0 with Lille. Getting a point from a European football contender was huge, but it didn’t help lift them off the bottom.

The Maroons, however, are well positioned to make at least a two-step leap with a win here. Having lost a league-high 14 matches, targeting the relegation playoff position might be a wise decision for Metz.

Whichever plans Metz think of at the moment, they’ll have to factor in how dominant Auxerre have been against them. AJA are unbeaten in the last five matches against Metz, and in the reverse meeting, they won 3-1.

In the seven meetings before their December clash, Auxerre had limited Metz to zero goals. They will hope for the same here, coming off two straight clean sheets in draws with Paris FC and Toulouse.

The visitors, however, have their own ghosts to fight, having failed to score in five straight games. With 14 points garnered, Auxerre are eight adrift of safety but could drop to the bottom with a loss. 

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Metz v Auxerre Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.15 3.1 2.55
Melbet
3.02 2.98 2.59
Betwinner
3.2 3.01 2.46
Bet365
3.2 3 2.45
Roobet
2.92 2.98 2.6
Check all Metz vs Auxerre odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Auxerre?

Our prediction for the Metz vs Auxerre match is: BTTS-No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Metz and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.8% for a win of Metz against Auxerre with odds of 3.2 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Auxerre is 28.03% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Metz with odds of 2.7 at 888Starz.

Metz - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:

Metz Auxerre Prediction Probability Odds
Auxerre wins 37.16% 2.7 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 58.56% 2.2 at LSbet
Both Team To Score: No 64.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auxerre 17.66% 6 at LSbet

Metz vs Auxerre Form

Metz and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15 Auxerre
34 34 8 10 16 -10
18 Metz
17 34 3 8 23 -44

Metz and Auxerre Last Matches

Metz
Metz Last matches
D L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Lille

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Metz

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  5
Lyon

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
Metz

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Metz
0 :  4
Montpellier Hsc

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Metz
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Lille

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  5
Lyon

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Metz
0 :  4
Montpellier Hsc

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Rennes

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  1
Nice
L L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Metz

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
Metz

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Metz

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Biesheim ASC
0 :  3
Metz

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  1
Metz

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  2
Metz
Auxerre
Auxerre Last matches
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Auxerre

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre
1 :  2
Monaco
D W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre
1 :  2
Monaco

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  4
Lille

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  1
Metz

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Lyon
L L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Auxerre

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Auxerre

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  0
Auxerre

Metz vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Metz

0 %

Draw

33 %

Auxerre

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  1
Metz

6 Apr 2019 - Ligue 2

Auxerre
0 :  0
Metz

5 Nov 2018 - Ligue 2

Metz
0 :  1
Auxerre

Metz against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11

Metz

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Fischer
39
K. Kouao
38
S. Sane
4
U. Mboula
97
F. Ballo-Toure
33
B. Munongo
10
G. Hein
9
G. Abuashvili
20
J. Deminguet
7
G. Tsitaishvili
30
H. Diallo
9
S. Mara
10
L. Sinayoko
28
R. Faivre
5
K. Danois
8
N. Ahamada
42
E. Owusu
24
B. Okoh
92
C. Akpa
20
S. Diomande
27
L. Sy
16
D. Leon

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Auxerre

Substitutes

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

O. Ba

Defender

M. Colin

K. Kouao 62'

T. Yegbe

B. Sarr

Midfielder

A. Toure

J. Deminguet 46'

J. Asoro

Forward

N. Mbala

G. Abuashvili 82'

L. Michal

F. Ballo-Toure 62'

G. Kvilitaia

G. Hein 70'

Auxerre
Auxerre
Goalkeeper

T. De Percin

Defender

M. Senaya

L. Sy 81'

F. Oppegard

G. Mensah

Midfielder

L. Coulibaly

R. Faivre 72'

T. Devernois

A. Diousse

N. Ahamada 81'

Forward

J. Casimir

S. Mara 72'

Y. Zaddy

K. Danois 90'

Missing players

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

P. Sy

Defender

B. Stambouli

Midfielder

J. Gbamin

B. Traore

I. Guerti

Forward

J. Mangondo

Auxerre
Auxerre
Defender

F. Sierralta

T. Siwe

Midfielder

O. El Azzouzi

Forward

D. Namaso

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Metz
CD Huachipato Auxerre
Top Goalscorer
France G. Hein (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (12 Goals)
Best assists
France G. Hein (5 Assists)
Best assists
Mali L. Sinayoko (4 Assists)

Metz - Auxerre Key Points

  1. Away from home, both sides scored in just three of Auxerre’s 10 league matches.
  2. Only one of the last 10 meetings between these two had both teams score.
  3. In half of Metz’s last 10 matches, at least one side failed to score.
  4. Metz didn’t score in five of their last nine home matches.
  5. Auxerre managed no goals in their last five matches.
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Our Metz vs Auxerre Prediction

Auxerre would easily pass as the favorites in this encounter. However, a poor run in attack diminishes that. They have failed to score in their last five matches, and that partly explains why they are positioned so low in the standings. Their last two matches came with clean sheets, though.

It has been tougher on the road, with Auxerre managing just four goals in 10 games. Metz, playing at home, will look to take advantage, but they are also in the same situation. They haven't scored in five of their last nine matches. Our prediction for Metz v Auxerre is: BTTS-No.

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Auxerre

Metz vs Auxerre Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Metz wins 2.56 3.2 +25.0%
Draw 3.2 3.15 -1.6%
Auxerre wins 2.86 2.7 -5.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Auxerre is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.0% and is now 37.0% (2.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Metz vs Auxerre Prediction