Metz vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
There could be some reorganization in the bottom three of the French Ligue 1 this weekend as Metz and Auxerre face off. Home team Metz come into the game bottom of the standings and Auxerre 16th. Let's have a look at our prediction of the match.
Metz managed to hold off their losing run last time out as they drew 0-0 with Lille. Getting a point from a European football contender was huge, but it didn’t help lift them off the bottom.
The Maroons, however, are well positioned to make at least a two-step leap with a win here. Having lost a league-high 14 matches, targeting the relegation playoff position might be a wise decision for Metz.
Whichever plans Metz think of at the moment, they’ll have to factor in how dominant Auxerre have been against them. AJA are unbeaten in the last five matches against Metz, and in the reverse meeting, they won 3-1.
In the seven meetings before their December clash, Auxerre had limited Metz to zero goals. They will hope for the same here, coming off two straight clean sheets in draws with Paris FC and Toulouse.
The visitors, however, have their own ghosts to fight, having failed to score in five straight games. With 14 points garnered, Auxerre are eight adrift of safety but could drop to the bottom with a loss.
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Metz v Auxerre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.15 | 3.1 | 2.55 |
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3.02 | 2.98 | 2.59 |
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|
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3.2 | 3.01 | 2.46 |
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3.2 | 3 | 2.45 |
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2.92 | 2.98 | 2.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Auxerre?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Auxerre match is: BTTS-No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Metz and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.8% for a win of Metz against Auxerre with odds of 3.2 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Auxerre is 28.03% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Metz with odds of 2.7 at 888Starz.
Metz - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Auxerre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 37.16% | 2.7 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 58.56% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auxerre | 17.66% | 6 at LSbet |
Metz vs Auxerre Form
Metz and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Auxerre Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2019 - Ligue 2
5 Nov 2018 - Ligue 2
Metz against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
O. Ba
DefenderM. Colin
T. Yegbe
B. Sarr
MidfielderA. Toure
J. Asoro
ForwardN. Mbala
L. Michal
G. Kvilitaia
T. De Percin
DefenderM. Senaya
F. Oppegard
G. Mensah
MidfielderL. Coulibaly
T. Devernois
A. Diousse
J. Casimir
Y. Zaddy
Missing players
P. Sy
DefenderB. Stambouli
MidfielderJ. Gbamin
B. Traore
I. Guerti
ForwardJ. Mangondo
F. Sierralta
T. Siwe
MidfielderO. El Azzouzi
ForwardD. Namaso
Most goals and assists
Metz - Auxerre Key Points
- Away from home, both sides scored in just three of Auxerre’s 10 league matches.
- Only one of the last 10 meetings between these two had both teams score.
- In half of Metz’s last 10 matches, at least one side failed to score.
- Metz didn’t score in five of their last nine home matches.
- Auxerre managed no goals in their last five matches.
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Our Metz vs Auxerre Prediction
Auxerre would easily pass as the favorites in this encounter. However, a poor run in attack diminishes that. They have failed to score in their last five matches, and that partly explains why they are positioned so low in the standings. Their last two matches came with clean sheets, though.
It has been tougher on the road, with Auxerre managing just four goals in 10 games. Metz, playing at home, will look to take advantage, but they are also in the same situation. They haven't scored in five of their last nine matches. Our prediction for Metz v Auxerre is: BTTS-No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Auxerre
| Metz vs Auxerre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 2.56 | 3.2 | +25.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.15 | -1.6% |
| Auxerre wins | 2.86 | 2.7 | -5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auxerre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.0% and is now 37.0% (2.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.