Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Melbourne Victory
02/01/2026 03:35
Perth Glory

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in A-League Predictions

As matchday 11 on Friday approaches, Melbourne Victory hosts Perth Glory, intensifying the race to the top six in the 2025-26 A-League. This match in Melbourne between the sixth-placed Dark Blues and the eighth-placed Glory comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals scored.

With 14 points from ten matches (W4, D2, L4), Victory are one point behind fourth and three points above ninth. Perth have 13 points from their ten games (W4, D1, L5) and are two points above tenth.

Victory smashed Wellington Phoenix 5-1 at home in their last matchday, which was their third victory in a row. With ten points from their last four unbeaten games (W3, D1), they are making the right noises to move up the table.

Two of those wins have come at home, and Victory have been beaten in just one of their four home league games this season (W2, D1, L1).

Perth won 3-1 away at Melbourne City last matchday, arresting a two-game losing sequence. That marked a fourth win from their last six league games (L2), helping them recover from three defeats in their first four matchdays.

Perth’s revival took shape on the road as the Glory won their last three league trips. That should give them confidence in overturning their poor record of losing their last six games against Victory.

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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.76 3.75 4.33
Betfred
1.73 3.6 4
William Hill
1.75 3.8 3.9
Unibet
1.85 3.6 3.85
Betway
1.8 3.75 4
Check all Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory?

Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/01/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.48% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Perth Glory with odds of 1.85 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory is 13.62% with odds of 3.85 at BC Game.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Form

Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
14 10 4 2 4 -1
8
Perth Glory
Perth Glory
13 10 4 1 5 -3

Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory Last Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory

13 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Adelaide United

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

28 Nov 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

13 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Adelaide United

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Melbourne City

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Auckland FC

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory
0 :  3
Wrexham

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

28 Nov 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

24 Oct 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
5 :  2
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
Perth Glory Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  3
Perth Glory

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Adelaide United

13 Dec 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Sydney

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
1 :  0
Western Sydney Wanderers

30 Nov 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  2
Perth Glory

23 Nov 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Perth Glory
D L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Adelaide United

13 Dec 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Sydney

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
1 :  0
Western Sydney Wanderers

7 Nov 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  3
Perth Glory

30 Nov 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  2
Perth Glory

23 Nov 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Perth Glory

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  2
Perth Glory

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Melbourne Victory

83 %

Draw

17 %

Perth Glory

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
17%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (home team)
0.17
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

8 Dec 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Perth Glory

31 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Perth Glory

9 Apr 2023 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Perth Glory

8 Aug 2020 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  4
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory last Lineups

Melbourne Victory

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
J. Duncan
22
J. Rawlins
15
S. Esposito
21
R. Miranda
2
J. Davidson
27
L. D'Arrigo
8
J. Valadon
17
N. Velupillay
64
J. Mata
11
C. Santos Rodrigus
9
N. Vergos
34
T. Lawrence
17
A. Sulemani
7
N. Pennington
18
R. Bozinovski
27
W. Freney
20
T. Ostler
3
S. Sutton
4
S. Wootton
45
B. Kaltak
2
C. Shamoon
29
M. Sutton

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Perth Glory

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
CD Huachipato Perth Glory
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales T. Lawrence (4 Goals)
Best assists
Australia J. Rawlins (2 Assists)
Spain J. Mata (2 Assists)
Australia M. Grimaldi (2 Assists)
Australia D. Genreau (2 Assists)
Best assists
Australia A. Taggart (2 Assists)

Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory Key Points

  1. Melbourne Victory’s league matches averaged 2.5 goals per match this season.
  2. Perth Glory’s league fixtures averaged 2.3 goals per game this season.
  3. Melbourne’s last two home league games featured three or more goals.
  4. Three of Perth’s last four away league games saw over 2.5 goals scored.
  5. Four of the last seven league games between these sides produced three or more goals.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction

Only a point separates Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory as the teams look to stay in the top six and fight for a spot in the Finals series. Both sides have a few things going for them, as Melbourne won their last three league games in a row, including their last two at this venue. Perth have revived their season with four wins across their last six league games.

Wins in Perth’s last three away games give them momentum, but the goals market holds value here. Our Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction