Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in A-League Predictions
As matchday 11 on Friday approaches, Melbourne Victory hosts Perth Glory, intensifying the race to the top six in the 2025-26 A-League. This match in Melbourne between the sixth-placed Dark Blues and the eighth-placed Glory comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals scored.
With 14 points from ten matches (W4, D2, L4), Victory are one point behind fourth and three points above ninth. Perth have 13 points from their ten games (W4, D1, L5) and are two points above tenth.
Victory smashed Wellington Phoenix 5-1 at home in their last matchday, which was their third victory in a row. With ten points from their last four unbeaten games (W3, D1), they are making the right noises to move up the table.
Two of those wins have come at home, and Victory have been beaten in just one of their four home league games this season (W2, D1, L1).
Perth won 3-1 away at Melbourne City last matchday, arresting a two-game losing sequence. That marked a fourth win from their last six league games (L2), helping them recover from three defeats in their first four matchdays.
Perth’s revival took shape on the road as the Glory won their last three league trips. That should give them confidence in overturning their poor record of losing their last six games against Victory.
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Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.06 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.06 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.86 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.8 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/01/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.8% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Perth Glory with odds of 1.86 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory is 13.42% with odds of 4.06 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 4.5 at LSbet.
Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Perth Glory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory wins | 47.77% | 4.5 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.35% | 2.2 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.25% | |
| Half-time : Melbourne Victory / Full-time : Perth Glory | 17.93% | 40 at LSbet |
Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Form
Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
10
|
31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 |
Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
30 Nov 2025 - A-League
23 Nov 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
30 Nov 2025 - A-League
23 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
13 May 2025 - FFA Cup
4 May 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
31 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Apr 2023 - A-League
8 Aug 2020 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Perth Glory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
J. Warshawsky
DefenderK. Razmovski
A. Traore
K. Jelacic
M. Grimaldi
O. Dragicevic
J. Reec
R. Warner
DefenderR. Foxe
A. Lebib
MidfielderG. De Abreu
L. Amos
K. Ngo
A. Taggart
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
A. Taggart
(5 Goals)
, 
T. Lawrence
(5 Goals)
,
N. Pennington
(5 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
J. Kucharski
(3 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory Key Points
- Melbourne Victory’s league matches averaged 2.5 goals per match this season.
- Perth Glory’s league fixtures averaged 2.3 goals per game this season.
- Melbourne’s last two home league games featured three or more goals.
- Three of Perth’s last four away league games saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Four of the last seven league games between these sides produced three or more goals.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction
Only a point separates Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory as the teams look to stay in the top six and fight for a spot in the Finals series. Both sides have a few things going for them, as Melbourne won their last three league games in a row, including their last two at this venue. Perth have revived their season with four wins across their last six league games.
Wins in Perth’s last three away games give them momentum, but the goals market holds value here. Our Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Perth Glory
| Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.71 | 1.86 | +8.8% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.06 | +9.7% |
| Perth Glory wins | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Perth Glory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 22.2% (-0.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Melbourne Victory vs. Perth Glory game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
