New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Melbourne Victory
18/10/2025 04:35
Auckland FC

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Arguably, the standout fixture on the opening weekend of the 2025-26 A-League season will see Melbourne Victory taking on Auckland FC at AAMI Park on Saturday. The Boys in Blue and the Black Knights finished fifth and first in the regular season last term. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

After a third-place finish in 2023-24, Melbourne Victory ended last season 10 points behind the Premiers before reaching the Grand Final of the Finals series, where they were beaten by Melbourne City 1-0. 

The Big V were eliminated from the Australian Cup in the first round by Olympic Kingsway this term, but they won all four of their preseason friendlies, scoring 12 goals while only conceding once. 

The hosts only lost two regular-season home games last term (W7 D4 L2), but one of those defeats came against this opponent in April. 

Meanwhile, Auckland FC enjoyed a dream first season in the A-League, as they surged to the Premiers title, finishing five points ahead of second-placed Melbourne City in the final standings. 

While they were less impressive in the Grand Finals, the Port had a solid showing in the Australian Cup this offseason, reaching the semi-final of the competition before bowing out to Heidelberg United. 

The visitors had the best away record in the division last season, earning 25 points from their 13 regular-season games on the road. 

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Auckland FC Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.4 3.05
Betfred
2.3 3.25 2.75
William Hill
2.38 3.3 2.8
Betway
2.38 3.4 2.8
Unibet
2.25 3.65 2.8
Check all Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC odds
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC?

Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.08% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Auckland FC with odds of 2.38 at William Hill.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC is 19.57% with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.05 at Bet365.

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Form

Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC Last Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Olympic Kingsway SC
4 :  3
Melbourne Victory

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory
0 :  3
Wrexham

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory
W W L D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory
0 :  3
Wrexham

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Olympic Kingsway SC
4 :  3
Melbourne Victory

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory
Auckland FC
Auckland FC Last matches
W L W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Heidelberg United FC
2 :  0
Auckland FC

23 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Sydney
1 :  1
Auckland FC

13 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

South Melbourne FC
0 :  3
Auckland FC

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Gold Coast Knights
0 :  4
Auckland FC

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC
W D D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

27 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Perth Glory

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
4 :  4
Adelaide United

21 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
6 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Heidelberg United FC
2 :  0
Auckland FC

23 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Sydney
1 :  1
Auckland FC

13 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

South Melbourne FC
0 :  3
Auckland FC

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Gold Coast Knights
0 :  4
Auckland FC

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

3 May 2025 - A-League

Western United
4 :  2
Auckland FC

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Melbourne Victory

25 %

Draw

25 %

Auckland FC

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.25
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.75
Goals scored (away team)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

31 Dec 2024 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC last Lineups

Melbourne Victory

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
J. Duncan
22
J. Rawlins
21
R. Miranda
4
L. Jackson
28
K. Bos
6
R. Teague
14
J. Valadon
7
D. Arzani
8
Z. Machach
11
C. Santos Rodrigues
10
B. Fornaroli
10
G. May
21
J. Randall
11
M. Francois
28
F. Gallegos
6
L. Verstraete
27
L. Rogerson
15
F. De Vries
4
N. Pijnaker
23
D. Hall
2
H. Sakai
12
A. Paulsen

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Auckland FC

Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Key Points

  1. Melbourne Victory kept three clean sheets in their four pre-season games.
  2. Five of Melbourne Victory’s final eight league/ Finals Series home games last season ended with under 2.5 goals.
  3. Auckland had the second-best defensive record in the A-League last season.
  4. Five of Auckland’s final seven away league games last season ended with under 2.5 goals.
  5. Fewer than three goals were scored in each of the last four matches between these sides.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction

Despite losing to this opponent home and away in the regular season last term, Melbourne Victory eventually got the last laugh, winning their Finals Series encounter by a 2-0 scoreline in May. 

Auckland had an incredible first season in the top flight and kicked off this term positively, reaching the semi-final of the Australian Cup. Matches between these sides last term were tight, and we’re expecting similar here based on how these two fared in pre-season. Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC prediction is under 2.5. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Auckland FC game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Bet on A-League at Bet365!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer