Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
A crucial top-half clash in the A-League is set to unfold on Saturday, when Melbourne Victory take on Auckland FC at AAMI Park. The Big V are in fifth place in their league standings, while the Black Knights sit atop the table after 23 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With three games to play and 39 points to their name, it is probably safe to say that Melbourne Victory will have no say in the title race, but they can still compete for the runner-up spot.
The Big V have been in good form of late, winning their last match 3-2 against Wellington Phoenix. That was their third win in four games, and they also scored two or more goals in each of those matches.
The hosts have also been solid at home of late, currently riding a five-match unbeaten run (W4 D1 L0), while having still only lost one game at AAMI Park this season.
Meanwhile, Auckland FC would have expected to have wrapped up the league title by now, but a series of five draws in their last six games has seen their lead trimmed to four points.
A victory here will take them one win away from the title, though, and will also extend their unbeaten run in the top flight to 13 games, following six wins and six defeats in their last 12.
The Black Knights have only been beaten twice this season and once on the road in 11 games. They avoided defeat in their last six outings and scored two or more goals in four of those games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Auckland FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.25 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.5 | 3.23 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.05% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Auckland FC with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC is 41.92% with odds of 3.63 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.23 at 1xbet.
Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Auckland FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.92% | 3.63 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.17% | 2.33 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 1.55 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.11% | 6 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Form
Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
53 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 24 |
|
5
|
42 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
9 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
21 Feb 2025 - A-League
31 Jan 2025 - A-League
17 Jan 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
9 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
26 Jan 2025 - A-League
22 Jan 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
Players list
M. Langerak
DefenderJ. Inserra
R. Miranda
L. Jackson
MidfielderJ. Valadon
Z. Machach
B. Fornaroli
ForwardK. Bos
N. Velupillay
J. Reec
N. Vergos
A. Paulsen
DefenderH. Sakai
D. Hall
N. Pijnaker
T. Smith
F. De Vries
MidfielderN. Moreno
L. Verstraete
C. Howieson
M. Francois
ForwardG. May
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderJ. Inserra
B. Hamill
MidfielderF. Monge
L. Kolic
ForwardB. Fornaroli
J. Reec
M. Woud
DefenderT. Smith
C. Howieson
N. Moreno
M. Francois
M. Mata
J. Randall
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Auckland FC
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Velupillay
(7 Goals)
G. May
(9 Goals)
Z. Machach
(5 Assists)
,
D. Arzani
(5 Assists)
F. De Vries
(7 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Key Points
- Five of Melbourne Victory’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 league home matches.
- Six of Auckland’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Auckland have scored two or more goals in six of their last nine away league matches.
- Auckland have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven games.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction
Melbourne Victory still has plenty to play for before the end of the season, but while they are scoring goals fairly easily lately, they have also been conceding, letting in two or more in each of their last three games.
Auckland, on the other hand, will be desperate for a win here, having seen their lead in the league standings narrow by the week since the start of March, but we feel it will not be easy for them to outscore their opponents in this one. Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Auckland FC
| Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.4 | 2.25 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Auckland FC wins | 2.75 | 3.1 | +12.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 28.6% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Auckland FC game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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