Marseille vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions
Off the back of disappointing outings in Ligue 1, Marseille and Rennes will be facing off in the French Cup this Tuesday. These two will be battling for a place in the quarter-finals, meeting for the second time this season as Marseille plays host. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Marseille have already tasted defeat at the hands of Rennes this season, losing 1-0 in their Ligue 1 encounter. Ahead of this one, Les Phoceens didn’t have a perfect outing.
They lost a 2-0 lead in the 2-2 draw with Paris FC in Ligue. That followed a 3-0 defeat at Club Brugge in the Champions League. Roberto De Zerbi will surely be wishing for calmer times.
Marseille are meeting Rennes at their lowest. The visitors are coming from a 4-0 defeat to a struggling Monaco. They are a pale shadow of the side that had gone on a run of eight wins in nine matches.
Les Rouge et Noirs are now winless in their last three matches, failing to score in the last two and in total managing just one goal in the process.
They scored six times in their last two French Cup matches, but it will take a big effort to do it for the third straight time. Rennes have conceded eight times in their last four matches.
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Marseille v Rennes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.46 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.48 | 5.09 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.98 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.45 | 5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Rennes match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/02/2026 between Marseille and Rennes in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.75% for a win of Marseille against Rennes with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Rennes is 14.5% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Marseille with odds of 6.35 at Betwinner.
Marseille - Rennes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Rennes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 44.75% | 1.5 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.04% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille | 17.22% | 2.15 at LSbet |
Marseille vs Rennes Form
Marseille and Rennes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Rennes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2024 - French Cup
3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Rennes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
G. Rulli
DefenderC. Egan-Riley
N. Aguerd
B. Pavard
H. Traore
B. Nadir
A. Vermeeren
G. Kondogbia
P. Aubameyang
A. Akabou
M. Silistrie
DefenderL. Brassier
M. Nagida
V. Rongier
L. Blas
E. Legendre
N. Mukiele
B. Embolo
Missing players
S. Fofana
Marseille - Rennes Key Points
- Rennes’ last five outings had 14 goals netted.
- Marseille’s last five outings saw 21 goals scored.
- Marseille conceded three in two of their last four games.
- In four of their last nine matches, Marseille scored 3+ goals.
- On average, 2.8 goals were scored in these teams’ last five meetings.
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Our Marseille vs Rennes Prediction
In Ligue 1, these two sides haven't been the best defensively, each conceding over 1.0 goals per game. However, they’ve made up for most of that with good numbers in attack, and that has also been witnessed in the French Cup. Marseille, for example, scored 15 times in the last two games in this competition.
Rennes, on their part, scored three in each of their two games. Narrowed down to their head-to-head meetings gives the impression this is a game that will definitely yield goals. Our prediction for Marseille v Rennes is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Rennes
| Marseille vs Rennes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.62 | 1.5 | -7.4% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 5.2 | +26.8% |
| Rennes wins | 5.2 | 6.35 | +22.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 66.7% (4.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
