Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille and Strasbourg are coming off shock defeats and will be looking to bounce back when they meet in Ligue 1 on Saturday. Both pushing for European football, hosts Marseille are fourth and Strasbourg seventh. If looking to bet on this match, below is our prediction.
Marseille are coming off a tough week that could wreck their season. Manager Roberto De Zerbi has parted ways with the club, and they’ve been dumped out of the Champions League.
Making it worse, they are coming from a 5-0 defeat against PSG, a team they are supposed to rival for the league title. That left them 12 points behind the league leaders. However, one loss at home in 10 league games will give Les Phoceens some confidence.
Strasbourg have also endured tough times as the reality of the league dawns on Gary O’Neil. The Englishman started on a high but comes here on two straight league defeats.
In between, though, he engineered a 3-1 win over Monaco in the French Cup. In their latest outing, Le Racing fell 2-1 at Le Havre. Their ninth loss of the league left them outside European football slots, trailing the top six by a point.
Away days haven't been the most productive for the visitors either. They’ve only managed one win on the road in the last five league games and three in 11 Ligue 1 matches so far.
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Marseille v Strasbourg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.89 | 3.95 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.86 | 3.96 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.86 | 3.96 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.85 | 3.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Strasbourg?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Strasbourg match is: Marseille wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Marseille and Strasbourg in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.41% for a win of Marseille against Strasbourg with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Strasbourg is 22.55% with odds of 4.02 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Strasbourg vs Marseille with odds of 4.11 at 888Starz.
Marseille - Strasbourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Strasbourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 39.41% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.27% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.42% | |
| Half-time: Strasbourg / Full-time: Marseille | 19.72% | 21 at Bet365 |
Marseille vs Strasbourg Form
Marseille and Strasbourg's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
8
|
53 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 |
Marseille and Strasbourg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Strasbourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Strasbourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. De Lange
DefenderC. Egan Riley
F. Medina
H. Abdelli
A. Vermeeren
H. Traore
G. Kondogbia
ForwardI. Paixao
E. Nwaneri
K. Johnsson
MidfielderS. Nanasi
A. Ouattara
J. Mwanga
R. Luis
A. Anselmino
M. Amougou
G. Yassine
D. Fofana
Missing players
L. Balerdi
I. Doukoure
S. Sow
MidfielderM. Oyedele
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Strasbourg
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
J. Panichelli
(16 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
D. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
J. Enciso
(7 Assists)
Marseille - Strasbourg Key Points
- Only 11 of Strasbourg’s 30 points came on their travels.
- Marseille have won three of their last five home league matches.
- Strasbourg have lost three of their last five away league outings.
- Marseille are unbeaten in their last two games against Strasbourg.
- 23 of Marseille’s 39 points this season came from home encounters.
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Our Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction
Marseille have had a torrid time in recent weeks, winning just one of their last four outings in all competitions. That is why coming back to play at the Velodrome will excite the home fans. They’ve won their last two matches at home and are among the best-performing hosts in Ligue 1.
In their last 17 home matches against Strasbourg, Marseille are unbeaten, winning 11 times. Strasbourg are coming here on a poor away run; they’ve lost three of their last five games on the road. Our prediction for Marseille v Strasbourg is that Marseille wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Strasbourg
| Marseille vs Strasbourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.85 | 1.91 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.02 | +11.7% |
| Strasbourg wins | 3.9 | 4.11 | +5.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 52.4% (-1.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
