England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
We’re off to Old Trafford on Saturday for a showdown that sees struggling superstars against a side surging with spirit - it’s Manchester United vs. Sunderland at the Theatre of Dreams. The Red Devils are in 14th place in the Premier League standings, while the Black Cats are fifth after the first six games of the season. Check out our match prediction below!
Despite seemingly retaining the backing of the board (for the time being anyway), Ruben Amorim is under immense pressure to bring some form of consistency back to Old Trafford. Since his arrival, United have not won back-to-back games in the top flight and seeing the Portuguese tactician hunched on the sidelines, head in hands, has become something of a common occurrence.
In the opposite dugout, Regis Le Bris is scripting a different kind of story, having turned his Championship playoff heroes into hardened top-flight hopefuls. Fifth place after six games is more than anyone expected from the newcomers, and if they can steal a scalp here, whispered dreams on Wearside will turn into roaring ambition. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Sunderland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Sunderland match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Manchester United and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.85% for a win of Manchester United against Sunderland with odds of 1.54 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Sunderland is 24.12% with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Manchester United with odds of 6.55 at 22bet.
Manchester United vs Sunderland Form
Manchester United and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
|
14
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
Manchester United and Sunderland Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Manchester United vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Apr 2017 - Premier League
26 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Manchester United - Sunderland: Form Analysis
It’s tough being a Man United fan right now, and last week was another test of their faith, as they watched their side crash to a 3-1 defeat away to Brentford just a week after beating Chelsea 2-1 at home.
Beyond the scoreline, that result marked the 17th loss in 33 Premier League games under Ruben Amorim - he now has a 27% win rate in the league since arriving at Old Trafford (W9 D7 L17).
The one minor positive is that the victory against Chelsea marked the first time that the Red Devils won back-to-back home league games under the Portuguese tactician. They had beaten Burnley 3-2 before that.
Still, Man United have only lost two of their last 30 league games against this opponent!
Meanwhile, while United were licking their wounds after getting stung by the Bees last week, Sunderland fans were rejoicing at the City Ground following a 1-0 victory over Nottingham Forest.
That result marked the Black Cats’ first Premier League away win in eight years and briefly took them into the top four in the table before Spurs picked up a point at home to Wolves later that evening.
The visitors have kept clean sheets in their last two away games and have only conceded four goals this season, which is the second-fewest in the top flight behind Arsenal and Crystal Palace.
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Manchester United vs Sunderland last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Martinez
T. Malacia
N. Mazraoui
D. Cirkin
A. Alese
L. Hjelde
MidfielderR. Mundle
H. Diarra
Manchester United & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Bruno Fernandes missed his second penalty of the season last week, and calls for the skipper to be moved back to his customary number 10 role are getting louder with each passing match.
That remains a possibility for Amorim this week, with Casemiro being available again after suspension. However, that move would likely require one of Matheus Cunha or Bryan Mbeumo to drop to the bench.
Benjamin Sesko scored his first league goal for United last week and should continue to lead the line, while Amad Diallo is back to face his former club after missing out last week due to personal reasons. Lisandro Martinez and Noussair Mazraoui are ruled out through injury.
Diallo scored 13 goals and provided three assists during his loan spell at Sunderland!
However, the Black Cats have found a new star boy this season in Wilson Isidor. After netting against Aston Villa, the Frenchman matched Darren Bent’s 15-year Premier League record by scoring in his first three home games in the top flight.
Granit Xhaka’s return to the Prem has been incredible, and he has been a pillar of strength in Sunderland’s midfield. He has also notched up three assists, including setting up the winner against Forest last week.
Regis Le Bris’ record this season is all the more impressive when considering the likes of Habib Diarra, Leo Hjelde, Dennis Cirkin and Aji Alese are all sidelined with injuries, while Reinildo Mandava is suspended.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Sunderland
B. Fernandes
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Mbeumo
(2 Goals)
W. Isidor
(3 Goals)
P. Dorgu
(1 Assists)
, 
H. Maguire
(1 Assists)
,
D. Dalot
(1 Assists)
G. Xhaka
(3 Assists)
Manchester United and Sunderland Stats in Premier League
Manchester United - Sunderland Key Points
- Four of Manchester United’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Manchester United have the highest xG (2.04) in the Premier League this season.
- Manchester United have the second-highest xG against (1.56) in the Premier League this season.
- Manchester United have failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season.
- Sunderland have only failed to score in one of their last four league games.
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Our Manchester United vs Sunderland Prediction
This is a huge match for Man United and Ruben Amorim, as a defeat here could spell the beginning of the end for the Portuguese manager, while a win would significantly improve the mood around Old Trafford heading into the international break.
Sunderland come into this match riding a wave of confidence and with everything to gain. Given United’s defensive record this season, we feel that the visitors will get on the scoresheet, regardless of the outcome. Our Manchester United vs Sunderland prediction is both teams to score.
Manchester United vs Sunderland - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester United wins the match
Despite Man United’s inconsistencies, they have won their last two home games and have the best xG in the division this season. It may not be pretty, but we feel the hosts will be able to outscore the visitors in this one.
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Manchester United vs Sunderland match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Sunderland will take place on October 4 at 15:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Sunderland will be played at Old Trafford in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Sunderland will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK.
However, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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