Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Super League

England - Women's Super League

Manchester City
01/02/2026 09:30
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ian John | in Women's Super League Predictions

In what could be a title-defining clash in the Women's Super League, Manchester City Women host Chelsea Women in a real championship showdown. With nine points separating the two teams after 13 league games played, it really is a must-win game for the visiting Blues against the Citizens who have won their last dozen league games. What will be our top prediction for the match?

A look at the league table reveals Manchester City hold a big advantage. After 13 games, City have 36 points having won all their last 12 games in the league. Chelsea are nine points adrift in second place with 27 points from their dozen games. However, the Blues are the only team to beat City domestically this season, doing so on the opening day in the league and in the League Cup.

City's recent form has been excellent, up until last weekend. A 2-0 league win at home to Everton was followed by a 6-0 win in the FA Cup at Bournemouth. However, they were beaten 1-0 in the League Cup semi-final by Chelsea but bounced back in the league last weekend with a 2-1 win away at London City Lionesses.

Chelsea's form coming into this game is somewhat mixed. They landed two 5-0 victories in a row, at home to West Ham in the league and then at home to Crystal Palace in the FA Cup. They then beat Man City 1-0 away in the League Cup, but last weekend went down to a dispiriting and disastrous 2-0 home defeat to Arsenal.

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Manchester City v Chelsea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.01 13.75 76
Melbet
2.5 3.62 2.54
Betwinner
2.45 3.38 2.46
Bet365
2.5 3.7 2.55
BC Game
1.65 3.2 5.1
Check all Manchester City vs Chelsea odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Chelsea match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Manchester City and Chelsea in Women's Super League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.39% for a win of Manchester City against Chelsea with odds of 2.5 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Chelsea is 10.39% with odds of 13.75 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Manchester City with odds of 76 at Stake.

Manchester City - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester City Chelsea Prediction Probability Odds
Chelsea wins 48.22% 76 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 59.51% 1.75 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 59.58%
Half-time : Manchester City / Full-time : Chelsea 20.99% 26 at Bet365

Manchester City vs Chelsea Form

Manchester City and Chelsea's standings in the Women's Super League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Manchester City
55 22 18 1 3 +43
3 Chelsea
49 22 15 4 3 +24

Manchester City and Chelsea Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

London City Lionesses
1 :  2
Manchester City

21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup

Manchester City
0 :  1
Chelsea

18 Jan 2026 - Women's FA Cup

AFC Bournemouth Ladies
0 :  6
Manchester City

11 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup

West Ham United FC
1 :  5
Manchester City

14 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
6 :  1
Aston Villa WFC
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup

Manchester City
0 :  1
Chelsea

11 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

14 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
6 :  1
Aston Villa WFC

15 Nov 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United WFC

1 Nov 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
1 :  0
West Ham United FC

4 Oct 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Arsenal
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

London City Lionesses
1 :  2
Manchester City

18 Jan 2026 - Women's FA Cup

AFC Bournemouth Ladies
0 :  6
Manchester City

21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup

West Ham United FC
1 :  5
Manchester City

7 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League

Leicester City WFC
0 :  3
Manchester City

22 Nov 2025 - FA Women's League Cup

Nottingham Forest Lfc
0 :  2
Manchester City

9 Nov 2025 - Women's Super League

Everton
1 :  2
Manchester City
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Arsenal

21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup

Manchester City
0 :  1
Chelsea

17 Jan 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

11 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
5 :  0
West Ham United FC

21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup

Liverpool
1 :  9
Chelsea

17 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League

VfL Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Chelsea
D L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Arsenal

17 Jan 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

11 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
5 :  0
West Ham United FC

10 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League

Chelsea
6 :  0
AS Roma

7 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Everton

20 Nov 2025 - Women's Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  1
FC Barcelona
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup

Manchester City
0 :  1
Chelsea

21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup

Liverpool
1 :  9
Chelsea

17 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League

VfL Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Chelsea

14 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League

Brighton And Hove Albion WFC
0 :  3
Chelsea

16 Nov 2025 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

11 Nov 2025 - Women's Champions League

SKN St. Polten
0 :  6
Chelsea

Manchester City vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

17 %

Draw

0 %

Chelsea

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup

Manchester City
0 :  1
Chelsea

5 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Manchester City

27 Mar 2025 - Women's Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Manchester City

23 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Chelsea

19 Mar 2025 - Women's Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Chelsea

15 Mar 2025 - FA Women's League Cup

Chelsea
2 :  1
Manchester City

Players list

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

A. Yamashita

Defender

K. Casparij

J. Rose

A. Greenwood

R. Knaak

Midfielder

L. Madison Blindkilde Brown

Y. Hasegawa

Forward

L. Hemp

V. Miedema

K. Shaw

Kerolin

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

H. Hampton

Defender

V. Buurman

E. Carpenter

M. Bright

N. Girma

Midfielder

W. Kaptein

K. Walsh

Forward

L. James

A. Thompson

E. Cuthbert

S. Baltimore

Substitutes

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

K. Keating

Defender

L. Ouhabi

G. Prior

Midfielder

A. Fujino

S. Coffey

G. Clinton

L. Coombs

Forward

M. Fowler

I. Beney

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

R. Spencer

L. Peng

Midfielder

A. Potter

S. Nusken

G. Reiten

Forward

A. Beever-Jones

S. Kerr

J. Kaneryd

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Jamaica K. Shaw (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA A. Thompson (7 Goals) Australia S. Kerr (7 Goals)

Manchester City - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Man City have conceded just five goals at home in the league this season.
  2. Eight of the last we games between these teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Chelsea have conceded just four goals in six away league games this season.
  4. The teams met just a few days ago, Chelsea winning 1-0 in the League Cup semi-final.
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Our Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction

Our prediction for the Manchester City Women vs. Chelsea Women Women's Super League match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Chelsea have beaten City twice this season, their only defeats domestically. However, Chelsea's recent form is not particularly strong with last week's defeat at home to Arsenal a real hammerblow to their title hopes. It's hard to pick a winner, City have the form, Chelsea the better record between the teams, but in a league where goals have been hard to come by between top teams, going for the Under 2.5 Goals makes sense.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Chelsea

Manchester City vs Chelsea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Manchester City wins 2.59 2.5 -3.5%
Draw 3.32 13.75 +314.2%
Chelsea wins 2.36 76 +3,120.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Chelsea is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3,120.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.4% and is now 1.3% (-41.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction