Lyon vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Paris FC had a new manager bounce and will be hoping for the same when they visit Lyon in Ligue 1. Heading into this Sunday's game, Lyon look to hold onto third spot as 14th-placed Paris FC seeks to move further from the bottom three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
After a run of 13 straight wins in all competitions, Lyon have failed to win any of the past three. The most recent of them ended in elimination from the French Cup by Lens on post-match penalties.
While all is still in their control, Lyon will be keen not to lose their grip on third spot. Five wins in as many Ligue 1 matches will definitely give Lyon the confidence here.
Paris FC forced a 3-3 draw with Lyon in the reverse match and will be willing to go a notch higher. With a new manager in Antoine Kombouare, the confidence levels have shot high at Paris FC.
The new coach started his tenure with a win. Paris FC beat Nice 1-0 for their first win in seven matches, but in four of those games they failed to score. Les Parisiens’ away record reads three winless outings, and they failed to score in two.
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Lyon v Paris FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.95 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.92 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.92 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.85 | 5.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Paris FC match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between Lyon and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.89% for a win of Lyon against Paris FC with odds of 1.71 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Paris FC is 31.53% with odds of 4.04 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Lyon with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Lyon - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Paris FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 49.89% | 1.71 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.57% | 1.93 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lyon/Lyon | 22.52% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Lyon vs Paris FC Form
Lyon and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 |
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
Lyon and Paris FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Descamps
DefenderS. Kango
MidfielderO. Mangala
N. Nartey
C. Tolisso
R. Ghezzal
ForwardA. Hamdani
Endrick
R. Yaremchuk
O. Nkambadio
DefenderT. Ollila
Kolo
MidfielderM. Cafaro
V. Marchetti
W. Geubbels
C. Immobile
L. Koleosho
A. Gory
Missing players
R. Kluivert
MidfielderA. Maitland-Niles
ForwardP. Sulc
E. Nuamah
M. Fofana
H. Traore
T. De Smet
S. Alakouch
S. Chergui
Otavio
MidfielderI. Kebbal
ForwardP. Hamel
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Paris FC
C. Tolisso
(11 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(11 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(9 Goals)
A. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
Endrick
(7 Assists)
I. Kebbal
(4 Assists)
,
M. Lopez
(4 Assists)
Lyon - Paris FC Key Points
- Lyon won 12 of their last 15 home matches.
- Lyon have won 14 of their 24 Ligue 1 games.
- Paris FC have only won 25% of their Ligue 1 games.
- Paris posted just three wins in their 12 away league games.
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Our Lyon vs Paris FC Prediction
Lyon have taken a few hits in recent weeks, and their confidence has been shaken. Two defeats and a draw have destabilized their earlier run of 13 straight wins, but this is a chance to bounce back.
Playing at home will offer a lot of comfort, having won nine of their last 10 games there, and they kept clean sheets in three of the last four too. Paris FC carry into the match a three-game winless run, and this will surely be a test for the visitors. Our prediction for Lyon v Paris FC is that Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Paris FC
| Lyon vs Paris FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 1.63 | 1.71 | +4.9% |
| Draw | 4.27 | 4.04 | -5.4% |
| Paris FC wins | 6.04 | 5.5 | -8.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.3% and is now 58.5% (-2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
