Lyon vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lyon will be looking to arrest their extending winless run when they welcome Lorient for yet another tough Ligue 1 outing. Ahead of this game, Lyon are sixth three places above Lorient, and the two sides are 10 points apart. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
A side once on 13 straight wins, Lyon have been a pale shadow of their former selves. They’ve failed to win any of their last six league matches, and form has abandoned them at the most inopportune period.
Gunning for Champions League football, once tucked in third place, Lyon have now been pushed to four points adrift after they could only manage a 0-0 draw with Angers.
Lorient aren’t the easiest of opponents, and Lyon will know better, having lost to them 1-0 in the reverse match. Across the last five meetings between these two, Lorient have only suffered one defeat, though they won twice in the said period.
They are also coming off a draw, having played to a 1-1 outcome at home against Paris FC. Les Merlus will be confident of upsetting Lyon, having won three more points than Les Gones across the last five rounds.
Their away form is what could give them away, with the visitors failing to win in the last four, losing twice. Each of their last three away games at Lyon ended in draws.
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Lyon v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 4.3 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.2 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.24 | 5.65 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.1 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Lorient match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Lyon and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.01% for a win of Lyon against Lorient with odds of 1.63 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Lorient is 37.11% with odds of 4.37 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Lyon with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Lyon - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.11% | 4.37 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 67.31% | 2.15 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.86% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Lyon vs Lorient Form
Lyon and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 |
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
Lyon and Lorient Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
7 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Descamps
DefenderR. Kluivert
H. Hateboer
MidfielderA. Karabec
K. Merah
T. Tessmann
O. Mangala
C. Tolisso
Endrick
B. Kamara
DefenderD. Yongwa
I. Silva
MidfielderD. Semedo
P. Katseris
B. Fadiga
M. Bley
ForwardA. Tosin
S. Soumano
Missing players
N. Tagliafico
N. Kamara
ForwardP. Sulc
E. Nuamah
M. Fofana
R. Himbert
M. Talbi
I. Toure
ForwardB. Mohamed
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Lorient
C. Tolisso
(11 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(11 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
A. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
Endrick
(7 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Lyon - Lorient Key Points
- When hosted in Lyon, these sides’ last three meetings ended in draws.
- Four of Lorient’s last eight league matches on the road were drawn.
- Lorient have drawn five times in their last seven games in all competitions.
- Lyon have drawn five of their last seven matches in all competitions.
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Our Lyon vs Lorient Prediction
Competitively, Lyon have now failed to win any of their last nine matches since their impressive winning run was ended. They’ve only gone winless in 10 games three times in their history and would love to avoid equaling that record.
Most concerning, though, is their drift away from Champions League slots. Lorient will offer another stiff challenge, even though the visitors themselves haven’t been great. They lost only two of the last 17 league games but won just seven of them. Our prediction for Lyon v Lorient is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Lorient
| Lyon vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 1.69 | 1.63 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 4.16 | 4.37 | +5.0% |
| Lorient wins | 5.43 | 6 | +10.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 24.0% and is now 22.9% (-1.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lyon vs. Lorient game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
