Lyon vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions
In the last of four quarter-final matches in the French Cup, Lyon will face off with Lens. The two sides will be happy to take a short break from their Ligue 1 engagements, with things not going their way lately. Here's a look at our preview and a prediction of the match.
Lyon, off the back of two straight defeats, will be hosting this game. Lens will be their second Ligue 1 opposition in the cup for Lyon, who earlier eliminated Lille.
Les Gones conceded three goals for the second straight time in their 3-2 defeat to Marseille on Sunday. That was a sobering loss for Lyon, the second in a row after earlier winning 13 straight matches.
There is some similarity in these two sides’ recent performances. Lens, like Lyon, are coming from two winless outings in Ligue 1. The latest of them was a 1-1 draw with Strasbourg, having earlier suffered a 3-2 defeat at home against Monaco.
That defeat stands as Lens’ only one in a run of 17 matches, and in that period, they failed to win three times. In the last meeting between these sides, Lyon won 1-0.
Lens will want to retake control of this fixture, having won three of the earlier four. In their last two visits to Lyon, Lens won.
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Lyon v Lens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.44 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.83 | 3.44 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.45 | 2.54 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Lens?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Lens match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/03/2026 between Lyon and Lens in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.46% for a win of Lyon against Lens with odds of 2.83 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Lens is 12.62% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Lyon with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
Lyon - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 47.46% | 2.83 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.28% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 18.51% | 7.25 at LSbet |
Lyon vs Lens Form
Lyon and Lens Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Greif
DefenderN. Kamara
H. Hateboer
O. Mangala
A. Karabec
T. Tessmann
K. Merah
R. Ghezzal
ForwardR. Himbert
M. Gorgelin
DefenderA. Masuaku
MidfielderA. Haidara
F. Sylla
A. Bulatovic
A. Bermont
ForwardR. Fofana
F. Sotoca
W. Said
Missing players
P. Sulc
E. Nuamah
M. Fofana
J. Gradit
R. Aguilar
J. Chavez
S. Baidoo
K. Antonio
Lyon - Lens Key Points
- Half of these teams’ last 10 meetings had over 2.5 goals.
- In their last two matches, Lyon conceded six times.
- Five times in their last 11 matches, Lens scored three or more.
- Four of Lens’ last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Lyon’s last five matches had 14 goals netted.
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Our Lyon vs Lens Prediction
Lyon and Lens are among the toughest sides still contesting for the French Cup. Both are involved in the Ligue 1 title race, but one of them must exit the cup competition here. One thing to expect is a big fight; bigger than in their first meeting of the season.
Having won most of their recent matches only fuels the belief and confidence across both teams. This is expected to translate to goals, and both sides have been prolific in recent outings. Our prediction for Lyon v Lens is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Lens
| Lyon vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 2.41 | 2.83 | +17.4% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.6 | +7.5% |
| Lens wins | 2.82 | 2.7 | -4.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.5% and is now 35.3% (-6.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
