Luxembourg vs Malta Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
31/03/2026 12:00
Malta

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Luxembourg looks to finish the job and secure their spot in League C in this decisive second leg. After a commanding performance in the first leg, the Red Lions return home to host Malta at the Luxembourg Stadium. Can Malta pull off a miracle comeback, or will Luxembourg cruise through? Let’s get into our match prediction.

Luxembourg took a massive step toward safety with a clinical 2-0 victory in Ta' Qali just five days ago. Goals from Vincent Thill and Mathias Olesen ensured that Jeff Strasser’s men carried a comfortable cushion back to their home turf.

Before that result, Luxembourg had been struggling for form, failing to find the net in five straight matches against heavy hitters like Germany and Slovakia. But their performance against Malta showed the gulf in class between the two sides.

The Knights of Malta, meanwhile, have struggled with consistency throughout 2025 and 2026, and despite a surprise 1-0 win over Finland late last year, they have largely been toothless in attack. Having failed to register a single goal at home in the first leg, they must now score at least twice in Luxembourg just to force extra time, a tall order for a team that has averaged less than one goal per game over their last ten outings.

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Luxembourg v Malta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.66 3.55 5.2
Melbet
1.7 3.54 5.4
Betwinner
1.7 3.74 5
Bet365
1.7 3.75 5
Roobet
1.68 3.55 5
Check all Luxembourg vs Malta odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Luxembourg and Malta?

Our prediction for the Luxembourg vs Malta match is: BTTS: No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/03/2026 between Luxembourg and Malta in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.03% for a win of Luxembourg against Malta with odds of 1.72 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luxembourg vs Malta is 15.14% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Malta vs Luxembourg with odds of 5.4 at Melbet.

Luxembourg - Malta Prediction and Best Odds:

Luxembourg Malta Prediction Probability Odds
Luxembourg wins 43.03% 1.72 at LSbet
Under 2.5 77.51% 1.9 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 83.33% 1.67 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Luxembourg 23.81% 4.5 at LSbet

Luxembourg vs Malta Form

Luxembourg and Malta Last Matches

Luxembourg
Luxembourg Last matches
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  2
Germany

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
2 :  0
Luxembourg

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Germany
4 :  0
Luxembourg

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovakia
W L D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  2
Germany

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovakia

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
1 :  3
Northern Ireland

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  0
Ireland

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovenia

22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
1 :  0
Sweden
D L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
2 :  0
Luxembourg

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Germany
4 :  0
Luxembourg

25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
3 :  1
Luxembourg

15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belarus
1 :  1
Luxembourg
Malta
Malta Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  1
Malta

12 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
1 :  4
Bosnia Herzegovina

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  4
Netherlands

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
3 :  1
San Marino
D W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland

12 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
1 :  4
Bosnia Herzegovina

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  4
Netherlands

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
3 :  1
San Marino

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  0
Lithuania
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  1
Malta

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Malta

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
8 :  0
Malta

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Malta

10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Andorra
0 :  1
Malta

7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
2 :  0
Malta

Luxembourg vs Malta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Luxembourg

50 %

Draw

0 %

Malta

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
0 :  2
Luxembourg

9 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Malta

Luxembourg against Malta Lineups: Starting 11

Luxembourg

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Moris
18
L. Jans
2
S. Korac
13
D. Carlson
4
F. Bohnert
8
C. Martins
19
M. Olesen
16
L. Barreiro
15
V. Thill
10
D. Sinani
9
A. Dardari
11
I. Cardona
20
Y. Chouaref
8
P. Mbong
7
J. Mbong
23
A. Satariano
6
M. Guillaumier
3
R. Camenzuli
13
E. Pepe
4
G. Mentz
22
Z. Muscat
1
H. Bonello

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Malta

Substitutes

Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Goalkeeper

L. Fox

T. Kips

Defender

E. Mahmutovic

F. Bohnert 57'

E. Dzogovic

M. Pinto

Midfielder

E. Veiga

E. Duarte

J. Cruz

V. Thill 68'

S. Thill

L. Barreiro 57'

Forward

E. Muratovic

Y. Borges Sanches

M. Olesen 68'

J. Videira Pereira

A. Dardari 78'

Malta
Malta
Goalkeeper

M. Debono

R. Al-Tumi

Defender

J. Borg

E. Pepe 62'

M. Beerman

Z. Muscat 74'

K. Shaw

A. Overend

Y. Chouaref 82'

Midfielder

J. Grech

B. Paiber

Y. Yankam

K. Ewurum

P. Mbong 62'

J. Corbalan

R. Camenzuli 46'

Forward

A. Zammit

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Luxembourg
CD Huachipato Malta
Top Goalscorer
Luxembourg G. Rodrigues (2 Goals) , 
Luxembourg V. Thill (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Malta R. Camenzuli (1 Goals) ,  Malta T. Teuma (1 Goals)
Best assists
Luxembourg D. Sinani (2 Assists)
Best assists

Luxembourg - Malta Key Points

  1. Luxembourg won the first leg 2-0 away from home.
  2. At least one team has been goalless in Luxembourg’s last six games and in eight of their last nine.
  3. In the last four meetings between Luxembourg and Malta dating back to 2021, one team has been goalless.
  4. In Malta’s last five Nations League games, at least one team went goalless.
  5. Likewise, at least one team went goalless in five of Luxembourg’s last seven Nations League games.
  6. The BTTS bet has lost in 14 of Malta’s last 17 games.
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Our Luxembourg vs Malta Prediction

Luxembourg would be fighting tooth and nail to prevent Malta from netting even a single goal here. The Red Lions already did the job in the first leg, so there’s no need to live dangerously here. And that should be the plan against the Knights of Malta, who have severely underperformed in front of goal.

Malta may very well win this game. But we’re backing the same historical trend that has seen one team remain goalless in all their past meetings since 2012. Hence, our Luxembourg vs Malta prediction is BTTS: No.

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luxembourg Malta

Luxembourg vs Malta Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Luxembourg wins 1.7 1.72 +1.2%
Draw 3.5 3.75 +7.1%
Malta wins 4.4 5.4 +22.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Luxembourg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 58.1% (-0.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Luxembourg vs Malta Prediction