Lorient vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lorient
05/04/2026 11:15
Paris FC

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Paris FC will resume Ligue 1 action with an away match at Lorient this Sunday. Lorient, sitting 10th, are looking to leap into the top half when 13th-placed Paris visits. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.

As they sit nine points away from the top six, Lorient will still be feeling they can get to the European football positions. They, however, need to deal with a recent setback first and maintain some consistency.

In their last outing, Les Merlus fell 1-0 away to Toulouse. It was their eighth Ligue 1 loss this season, while they have drawn 10 times.

Paris FC are another side with a long string of draws. The promoted side has also drawn 10 times, like Lorient. They’ve, however, lost two more and won two less.

Before leaving for the international break, Les Parisiens bagged their seventh win of the campaign, beating Le Havre 3-2. Paris have only lost twice in their last 10 matches but have also managed two wins in that period.

Most of the visiting team’s matches have ended in draws. This will be the third time the two sides face off this season. Paris won the league meeting 2-0 and then Lorient in their cup clash by the same score line.

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Lorient v Paris FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.39 3.35 3.2
Melbet
2.4 3.22 3.06
Betwinner
2.4 3.22 3.06
Bet365
2.38 3.3 3.1
Roobet
2.36 3.15 3.05
Check all Lorient vs Paris FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Paris FC?

Our prediction for the Lorient vs Paris FC match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between Lorient and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.72% for a win of Lorient against Paris FC with odds of 2.49 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Paris FC is 39.23% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Lorient with odds of 3.2 at Stake.

Lorient - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Lorient Paris FC Prediction Probability Odds
Lorient wins 40.72% 2.49 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 60.71% 2.03 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 51.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient 20.07% 6 at LSbet

Lorient vs Paris FC Form

Lorient and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lorient
45 34 11 12 11 -3
11 Paris FC
44 34 11 11 12 -3

Lorient and Paris FC Last Matches

Lorient
Lorient Last matches
D D D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  0
Lorient

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Lens

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Lorient

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
0 :  0
Nice

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Auxerre

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Lens

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
0 :  0
Nice

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Auxerre

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Angers

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Nantes
W W L D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  0
Lorient

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Lorient

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lorient

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  2
Lorient

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  3
Lorient
Paris FC
Paris FC Last matches
L D W D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Le Havre

15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Paris FC

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Paris FC

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  0
Nice

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
Paris FC

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  5
Lens
L D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Le Havre

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  0
Nice

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  5
Lens

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  2
Marseille

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  0
Angers

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse
W L D D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Paris FC

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Paris FC

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
Paris FC

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Paris FC

Lorient vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorient

67 %

Draw

0 %

Paris FC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  0
Lorient

8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
3 :  2
Lorient

14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 2

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

9 Feb 2021 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  1
Paris FC

29 Jul 2019 - Ligue 2

Lorient
3 :  0
Paris FC

Lorient against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11

Lorient

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

38
Y. Mvogo
5
B. Meite
3
M. Talbi
25
A. Faye
11
T. Le Bris
8
N. Cadiou
62
A. Ebong
43
A. Kouassi
17
J. Makengo
10
P. Pagis
12
B. Dieng
27
M. Simon
9
W. Geubbels
93
J. Ikone
21
M. Lopez
18
M. Munetsi
33
P. Lees-Melou
19
N. Sangui
5
M. Mbow
42
D. Coppola
17
A. Camara
35
K. Trapp

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Paris FC

Substitutes

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Kamara

Defender

D. Yongwa

I. Silva

N. Adjei

Midfielder

D. Semedo

P. Katseris

T. Le Bris 81'

D. Karim

P. Pagis 72'

Forward

T. Aiyegun

J. Makengo 71'

S. Soumano

B. Dieng 67'

Paris FC
Paris FC
Goalkeeper

O. Nkambadio

Defender

T. De Smet

Kolo

H. Traore

M. Lopez 70'

Midfielder

M. Cafaro

I. Kebbal

J. Ikone 70'

S. Chergui

M. Simon 90'

Forward

A. Gory

A. Camara 71'

L. Koleosho

W. Geubbels 70'

Missing players

Lorient
Lorient
Defender

S. Toure

Midfielder

L. Abergel

Forward

B. Mohamed

Paris FC
Paris FC
Goalkeeper

R. Riou

Defender

S. Alakouch

Midfielder

J. Lopez

V. Marchetti

R. Matondo

Forward

P. Hamel

J. Krasso

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lorient
CD Huachipato Paris FC
Top Goalscorer
France P. Pagis (10 Goals)
Senegal B. Dieng (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Algeria I. Kebbal (9 Goals)
Best assists
Burkina Faso A. Kouassi (6 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria I. Kebbal (4 Assists)
France M. Lopez (4 Assists)

Lorient - Paris FC Key Points

  1. Paris drew six times in their last 10 matches.
  2. Each of these sides has drawn 10 times in Ligue 1 so far.
  3. Lorient are unbeaten in 10 home matches, drawing four.
  4. Lorient have one win in their last six games, drawing four.
  5. Paris FC posted straight draws in the last four away games.
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Our Lorient vs Paris FC Prediction

These two sides haven't been very consistent in the run-up to this meeting, and this can be tough to call. One outcome that has dominated their matches, however, has been a draw. No team in Ligue 1 has drawn more matches than these two at 10 apiece.

Though head-to-head, only two draws came off their last 10 meetings, there are all indications this could head that way. Paris posted four straight away draws ahead of this game, and Lorient have four in their last six outings. Our prediction for Lorient v Paris is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Paris FC

Lorient vs Paris FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lorient wins 2.36 2.49 +5.5%
Draw 3.41 3.4 -0.3%
Paris FC wins 3.35 3.2 -4.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lorient is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.4% and is now 40.2% (-2.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorient vs Paris FC Prediction