Lorient vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Le Havre visits Lorient this weekend, hoping to avoid relegation from the French Ligue 1. They enter the final day placed 14th, whereas their hosts are up in ninth. Lorient and Le Havre have drawn three of their last four H2Hs. At home against Le Havre in the last nine meetings, Lorient are unbeaten, but five of those games ended in draws. Backing a draw, therefore, looks like a good prediction.
Lorient are playing for pride on the final day. The hosts earned survival a while back but were unable to produce a sustained run to qualify for Europe.
Olivier Pantaloni’s men arrive for the final week having accumulated 45 points. They have won 11 and drawn another 12 of their 33 games
. Les Merlus, who cannot finish higher than ninth, have a slim one-point cushion on 10th-placed Toulouse. Lorient hammered already relegated Metz 4-0 last time out.
Le Havre have plenty riding on this fixture and will arrive for the weekend seeking nothing but a win. Le Club Doyen must win in Lorient to be assured of competing in Ligue 1 next season.
Fate is in their hands, but if the teams below them better their result on Sunday, Le Havre will be relegated. Didier Digard’s men are just one point above the relegation zone.
They have racked up 32 points after only managing six victories and drawing a league-leading 14 fixtures. Le Havre saw a run of five games without a defeat come to an end last time out following a 1-0 loss at home to Marseille.
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Lorient v Le Havre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.5 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.5 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.5 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.45 | 2.58 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Le Havre?
Our prediction for the Lorient vs Le Havre match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Lorient and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.61% for a win of Lorient against Le Havre with odds of 2.74 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Le Havre is 48.48% with odds of 3.61 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Lorient with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
Lorient - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lorient Le Havre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 48.48% | 3.61 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 59.42% | 1.95 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 23.19% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Lorient vs Le Havre Form
Lorient and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Lorient and Le Havre Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Lorient vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2019 - Ligue 2
28 Jul 2018 - Ligue 2
5 Mar 2018 - Ligue 2
Lorient against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Leroy
DefenderD. Yongwa
B. Meite
I. Silva
MidfielderD. Karim
A. Ebong
B. Mohamed
S. Soumano
A. Tosin
L. Mpasi
DefenderL. Nego
T. Pembele
G. Gomis
G. Kyeremeh
S. Ebonog
D. Mosengo
ForwardF. Mambimbi
N. Obougou
Missing players
B. Kamara
MidfielderT. Le Bris
A. Seko
S. Zagadou
MidfielderY. Zouaoui
Most goals and assists
Lorient
Le Havre
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
Lorient - Le Havre Key Points
- Four of these teams’ last six meetings ended in draws.
- Le Havre drew in each of their last three away matches.
- Half of the teams’ last 10 matchups hosted by Lorient were drawn.
- In 10 competitive outings, Lorient managed just three wins.
- In 11 away Ligue 1 matches, Le Havre are winless, five ending in draws.
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Our Lorient vs Le Havre Prediction
Lorient haven’t lost in their last nine home matches against Le Havre. The bigger percentage of these matches, however, ended in draws, as the teams shared spoils in five and Lorient won the rest. Le Havre are coming from a miserable run of form, where they have managed no wins in the last 11 matches in Ligue 1.
Now they go into a tough game where they can’t afford a slip-up. Fortunately, Lorient doesn't have much to play for, and this could end all even. Our prediction for Lorient v Le Havre is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Le Havre
| Lorient vs Le Havre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 2.07 | 2.74 | +32.4% |
| Draw | 3.93 | 3.61 | -8.1% |
| Le Havre wins | 3.62 | 2.7 | -25.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.4% and is now 27.7% (2.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lorient vs. Le Havre game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
