Lorient vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

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France - Ligue 1

Lorient
01/03/2026 11:15
Auxerre

Prediction :

 

Lorient wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Lorient and Auxerre have different targets for the season but will both be eyeing a return to winning ways in their Sunday meeting. Heading into the game, Auxerre remain stuck in the bottom three, while Europe-chasing Lorient are ninth. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Though they missed a chance to close in on the top six in their 3-3 draw with Nice, Lorient showed great fighting spirit. They went 2-0 down in the game, then 3-1, but battled to a draw, with the equalizer coming deep in added time.

Back at home, things should be easier, having won 22 of 32 points there. Their only loss at home in 11 Ligue 1 matches was against Lille.

Auxerre will be hoping to be the second to win here, but their form this season betrays them. AJA did beat Les Merlus in their last two meetings, but they haven't been in that shape lately.

They won the reverse fixture 1-0, which is one of their measly four wins in the league this season. Only one side has lost more than their tally of 14 this season, and their state is further complicated by being low scorers.

Auxerre have managed just 17 goals this season. That’s the lowest tally thus far, while they have only one win in their 11 Ligue 1 away matches.

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Lorient v Auxerre Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.14 3.3 3.7
Melbet
2.12 3.22 3.68
Betwinner
2.12 3.22 3.68
Bet365
2.1 3.2 3.7
Roobet
2.1 3.2 3.65
Check all Lorient vs Auxerre odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Auxerre?

Our prediction for the Lorient vs Auxerre match is: Lorient wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2026 between Lorient and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.94% for a win of Lorient against Auxerre with odds of 2.2 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Auxerre is 26.22% with odds of 3.35 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Lorient with odds of 3.82 at 888Starz.

Lorient - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:

Lorient Auxerre Prediction Probability Odds
Lorient wins 57.94% 2.2 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 67.86% 2.14 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 61.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient 26.18% 5 at Bet365

Lorient vs Auxerre Form

Lorient and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lorient
45 34 11 12 11 -3
15 Auxerre
34 34 8 10 16 -10

Lorient and Auxerre Last Matches

Lorient
Lorient Last matches
W W W L W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Angers

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lorient

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Nantes

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  2
Lorient
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Angers

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Nantes

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Metz

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Lyon

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  1
Nice
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lorient

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  2
Lorient

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  3
Lorient

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Hauts Lyonnais
1 :  3
Lorient

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

AS Le Gosier
0 :  7
Lorient
Auxerre
Auxerre Last matches
L L D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  3
Rennes

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  3
Auxerre

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre
W L L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  3
Rennes

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC

23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre
1 :  2
Monaco

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  4
Lille

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  1
Metz
L D L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  3
Auxerre

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Auxerre

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Auxerre

Lorient vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorient

33 %

Draw

33 %

Auxerre

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Lorient

26 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  1
Auxerre

16 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  3
Lorient

13 Dec 2019 - Ligue 2

Lorient
1 :  0
Auxerre

29 Apr 2019 - Ligue 2

Lorient
2 :  2
Auxerre

3 Dec 2018 - Ligue 2

Auxerre
0 :  0
Lorient

Lorient against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11

Lorient

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

38
Y. Mvogo
2
I. Silva
3
M. Talbi
5
B. Meite
11
T. Le Bris
6
L. Abergel
8
N. Cadiou
44
D. Yongwa
10
P. Pagis
17
J. Makengo
12
B. Dieng
10
L. Sinayoko
19
D. Namaso
7
J. Casimir
22
F. Oppegard
42
E. Owusu
5
K. Danois
29
M. Senaya
14
G. Mensah
24
B. Okoh
20
S. Diomande
16
D. Leon

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Auxerre

Substitutes

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Kamara

Defender

N. Adjei

Midfielder

D. Karim

J. Makengo 72'

P. Katseris

T. Le Bris 89'

A. Ebong

L. Abergel 71'

Forward

S. Soumano

B. Dieng 81'

T. Aiyegun

P. Pagis 80'

B. Mohamed

Auxerre
Auxerre
Goalkeeper

T. De Percin

Defender

F. Sierralta

C. Akpa

Midfielder

N. Ahamada

L. Sy

A. Diousse

Forward

M. Cissokho

S. Mara

J. Casimir 82'

Y. Zaddy

Missing players

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Leroy

Defender

S. Toure

A. Faye

A. Kouassi

Midfielder

B. Fadiga

Forward

T. Sanusi

Auxerre
Auxerre
Defender

T. Siwe

Midfielder

R. Faivre

L. Coulibaly

O. El Azzouzi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lorient
CD Huachipato Auxerre
Top Goalscorer
France P. Pagis (10 Goals) , 
Senegal B. Dieng (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (12 Goals)
Best assists
Burkina Faso A. Kouassi (6 Assists)
Best assists
Mali L. Sinayoko (4 Assists)

Lorient - Auxerre Key Points

  1. In their last eight matches, Lorient won six times.
  2. Six of Auxerre’s last 10 away matches ended in defeat.
  3. Lorient are unbeaten in 10 matches at home, winning six.
  4. Auxerre have lost 14 times in their 23 league games so far.
  5. Lorient have only lost once in the last 15 across all competitions.
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Our Lorient vs Auxerre Prediction

Lorient’s dream for European football next season has been stalled by two winless outings in the last three matches. They will come into this game looking to recharge that ambition, and playing at home against a struggling side offers the right avenue.

Lorient are unbeaten in 10 home matches, winning six, while Auxerre are on six defeats in their last 10 away matches. The visitors have been one of the poorest-performing teams in the league, and this will be another tough outing. Our prediction for Lorient v Auxerre is that Lorient wins.

Prediction :

 

Lorient wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Auxerre

Lorient vs Auxerre Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lorient wins 2.12 2.2 +3.8%
Draw 3.41 3.35 -1.8%
Auxerre wins 4.02 3.82 -5.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lorient is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 47.2% and is now 45.5% (-1.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorient vs Auxerre Prediction