Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Liverpool
01/01/2026 12:30
Leeds

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions

Looking to continue their impressive run in recent weeks, Liverpool will start 2026 with a matchday 19 fixture against Leeds in the English Premier League. This match on Thursday in Anfield between the fourth-placed Reds and the 16th-placed Whites comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

The Reds have 32 points from 18 matches (W10, D2, L6) and have a three-point lead over Chelsea while being seven points behind third-placed Aston Villa. The Whites have 20 points (W5, D5, L8) and have a seven-point cushion over the relegation zone.

After a turbulent time between September and October, Liverpool have revived their season with an impressive run in the league. They can consolidate their top-four spot with another win, although Leeds are an improved side themselves. The sides dished out a thrilling 3-3 draw when the sides met in early December. Will there be another thrilling game in the offing from these sides? Or, will Liverpool continue their impressive Anfield form? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 4.5 5.75
Betfred
1.53 4.5 6
William Hill
1.53 4.2 5.8
Unibet
1.52 4.4 6.1
Betway
1.55 4.2 5.5
Check all Liverpool vs Leeds odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Leeds match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Liverpool and Leeds in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.94% for a win of Liverpool against Leeds with odds of 1.59 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Leeds is 24.66% with odds of 4.53 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Liverpool with odds of 6.1 at Unibet.

Liverpool vs Leeds Form

Liverpool and Leeds's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Liverpool
Liverpool
32 18 10 2 6 4
16
Leeds
Leeds
20 18 5 5 8 -7

Liverpool and Leeds Last Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland
W L L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
L L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Liverpool

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
L W D D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds
L W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

24 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Liverpool vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

50 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
3.33
Goals scored (home team)
1.17
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

17 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  6
Liverpool

29 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Leeds

23 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Leeds

12 Sept 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  3
Liverpool

19 Apr 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Liverpool

Liverpool - Leeds: Form Analysis

Liverpool edged out Wolves 2-1 last weekend to make it four wins in a row in all competitions. In fact, the Reds are undefeated in their last seven matches in all competitions (W5, D2). This run has given them an advantage in the top-four race and a chance to stay in the hunt.

That victory over Wolves was their second in a row at this venue following a 2-0 win over Brighton. Although they lost here to Nottingham Forest at the end of November, Liverpool are a tough team to play at this venue.

Liverpool have won six of the last nine first matches of the year, playing at Anfield.

Leeds held Sunderland to a 1-1 away draw last weekend to make it a five-game sequence without a loss (W2, D3). The Whites have pulled themselves out of the relegation zone, thanks to this form, and will hope to keep pulling further away.

It’s their away form that needs improvement, as Leeds haven’t won any of their last six league trips (D2, L4). Their scoring form has improved, however, and Leeds have scored in each of their last four away league games.

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Liverpool vs Leeds last Lineups

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
30
J. Frimpong
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
6
M. Kerkez
38
R. Gravenberch
17
C. Jones
14
F. Chiesa
10
A. Mac Allister
7
F. Wirtz
22
H. Ekitike
19
N. Okafor
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
3
G. Gudmundsson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
11
B. Aaronson
2
J. Bogle
5
P. Struijk
15
J. Bijol
6
J. Rodon
1
L. Perri

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Leeds

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

J. Gomez

Midfielder

W. Endo

Forward

A. Isak

M. Salah

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

J. Rodon

Midfielder

S. Longstaff

Forward

D. James

Liverpool & Leeds Squad Analysis

Liverpool will be without Mohamed Salah, who’s with Egypt in the Africa Cup of Nations. Dominic Szoboszlai returns from suspension but may struggle to upstage Jeremie Frimpong, who impressed at right-back against the Wolves. Also missing are their long-term absentees, Joe Gomez and Alexander Isak.

The Reds will continue to line up in their 4-2-3-1 formation with Hugo Ekitike leading the line. He has eight goals and is Liverpool’s highest scorer in the league this season. Szoboszlai could feature on the right side of the midfield troika behind the striker.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in each of his last six games.

The former Everton striker has scored in the reverse fixture and will hope to impress against his former derby rivals! Leeds will be without Joe Rodon for this encounter, after he was injured against Sunderland. Also out for the Whites are Sean Longstaff and Dan James.

Leeds have traditionally played in a 3-5-2 formation this season and will continue in that system. That would see Calvert-Lewin partnered up front by Noah Okafor.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (8 Goals)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (4 Assists)
Netherlands C. Gakpo (4 Assists)
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (3 Assists)

Liverpool and Leeds Stats in Premier League

Liverpool
Liverpool
Leeds
Leeds
56%
Wins
28%
11%
Draw
28%
33%
Losses
44%
3.11
Total goals per match
3.17
1.67
Goals scored per match
1.39
1.44
Goals conceded per match
1.78
67%
Over 2.5
67%
33%
Under 2.5
33%
61%
BTTS
67%
28%
Clean Sheet
11%

Liverpool - Leeds Key Points

  1. Four of Liverpool’s last five league games produced goals from both teams.
  2. In three of their last four home matches in all competitions, Liverpool saw both teams score goals.
  3. Leeds saw both teams score goals in their last eight league games.
  4. That included their last four away league matches.
  5. Eight of the last 12 matches between these sides, including the last three, saw BTTS.
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Our Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction

Leeds have suddenly found some life in their campaign, staying unbeaten in five consecutive matches. Two wins and three draws in that sequence have given them a cushion of seven points over the relegation zone ahead of this game. Liverpool are still not playing their best football, but four wins and two draws in their last six games brought them into top-four contention. The Reds have also improved at home and are looking to post three wins in a row at this venue.

Leeds could trouble Liverpool, and our Liverpool vs Leeds prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Liverpool vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score anytime

Odds 3.3

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is enjoying the best of forms and has scored seven goals in his last six league games, netting in each fixture. That sequence also saw him score in the reverse fixture. He could be up for another busy day here.

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Liverpool vs Leeds - FAQs

The Liverpool vs Leeds English Premier League match is scheduled for a 5:30 pm UK Time kick-off on Thursday, January 1, 2026.

The Liverpool vs Leeds English Premier League match will be played at the iconic Anfield Stadium. This has been the home of Liverpool football club since its formation in 1892. The stadium has a seating capacity of 61,276 and is the fifth-largest football venue in England.

The Liverpool vs Leeds English Premier League match will be broadcast live on the Sky Sports Main Event TV channel for the viewers in the UK. Sky customers can access the match on Sky Go and on the Sky Sports+ app, while it is also available via Now TV’s Sports membership.

You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!

Leeds are in line for a historic moment if they win here. They won 2-1 at Anfield in October 2022 but have never won consecutive league matches on visits to this venue.

That won’t be straightforward though, not least because of Liverpool’s record on New Year’s Day. The Reds have won five of their last six such games (D1), with their last defeat coming back in 2005.

Leeds, on the other hand, have won just one of their last six league games playing on New Year’s Day (D3, L2).

Coming to individual players, watch out for Cody Gakpo. The Dutch player scored in Liverpool’s first Premier League game of each of the last two calendar years. The last player to do so on three consecutive years was Ian Rush, back in 1985 to 1987.

Chris Kavanagh is the match referee for this Liverpool vs Leeds English Premier League fixture. He will be assisted on the pitch by the duo of Dan Cook and Blake Antrobus, while Anthony Taylor will be the fourth official. In the crucial VAR room, it will be Darren England who will be the VAR and Wade Smith who will be the VAR Assistant.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction