Lille vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Ligue 1 resumes after the winter break, and Lille will be at home to Rennes, starting off their 2026 activities. Both ended 2025 on a high, and Lille are fourth while Rennes are placed sixth in the standings. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Lille hit a purple patch in the league towards the end of last year and will be looking to carry on. They are on four straight wins in the league, while across all competitions, they have won six of the last seven games.
In their last outing, Les Dogues beat Lusitanos 1-0 in the French Cup. An 11-game unbeaten run against Rennes, with six wins, will further motivate Lille coming here.
Rennes will feel they are in the right shape to halt Lille’s dominance after a positive finish to 2025. They come here holding on to two straight wins and have only lost once in the last eight matches.
The said defeat was a heavy one, though, as they conceded five against champions PSG. Rennes did recover from that 5-0 win, scoring six times in two games.
They trounced Les Sables 3-0 in the French Cup, having earlier won 3-1 over Brest in Ligue 1 action. Rennes are going into this away match having struggled on the road, winning only twice in the eight games.
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Lille v Rennes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.88 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.9 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.9 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.85 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Rennes match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Lille and Rennes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.24% for a win of Lille against Rennes with odds of 1.77 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Rennes is 23.97% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Lille with odds of 4.98 at 888Starz.
Lille - Rennes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Rennes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 50.24% | 1.77 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.36% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lille/Lille | 19.63% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Rennes Form
Lille and Rennes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 |
Lille and Rennes Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Rennes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille against Rennes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderT. Santos
M. Goffi
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
A. Bouaddi
S. Boussadia
ForwardF. Correia
S. Diaoune
A. Yondjo
M. Silistrie
DefenderA. Rouault
MidfielderP. Limon
D. Cisse
L. Blas
G. Kamara
ForwardE. Lepaul
N. Mukiele
E. Legendre
Missing players
A. Mandi
C. Mbemba
R. Perraud
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderU. Raghouber
N. Mukau
E. Mbappe
ForwardH. Igamane
M. Nagida
A. Ait Boudlal
MidfielderS. Fofana
Most goals and assists
Lille
Rennes
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(8 Goals)
E. Lepaul
(21 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez
(5 Assists)
M. Tamari
(6 Assists)
Lille - Rennes Key Points
- Rennes scored 3+ in three of their last five games.
- 19 goals were scored in Lille’s last five home games.
- Lille scored 4+ in three of their last five home matches.
- Rennes’ last five outings on the road averaged three goals.
- In these teams’ last five matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
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Our Lille vs Rennes Prediction
Our prediction for Lille v Rennes is for more than 2.5 goals. Goals haven't been in short supply in these two sides’ recent matches, and going into this clash, we are looking out for the same. After the winter break, fresh legs are almost a guarantee for a high-scoring game.
Lille scored four or more goals in three of their last five home matches, while Rennes’ last five away games have produced a total of 15 goals. When facing off, their last five meetings recorded 15 goals, and that will guide our bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Rennes
| Lille vs Rennes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.77 | 1.77 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.17 | 4.2 | +0.7% |
| Rennes wins | 4.78 | 4.98 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.5% and is now 56.5% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
