France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille will host PSG in the match that will mark a close to the seventh round of Ligue 1. Trailing PSG by five points, Lille are hoping to end a run of consecutive defeats in the league. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Lille have really ceded ground in their Ligue 1 ambitions after a strong start. Balancing domestic and continental football seems to have taken a toll on Les Dogues.
They are coming from a second straight win in the Europa League, luck also having played a part as they beat Roma 1-0 away from home. Losses to Lyon and Lens back at home have, however, left questions over their ability to compete.
This will be a big test for Lille as much as it is for PSG. The league leaders have also shown a bit of slipperiness in the recent weeks, while key injuries aren’t making things any better.
Les Parisiens have, however, recovered from the shock loss to Marseille and won their last two matches. The latest of them was a comeback to shock Barcelona 2-1 in Spain in their midweek Champions League game.
Looking to carry the same to their first away league game after the loss to Marseille, PSG will also be banking on an eight-game unbeaten run against Lille.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.2 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.6 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and PSG?
Our prediction for the Lille vs PSG match is: PSG wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Lille and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.74% for a win of Lille against PSG with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs PSG is 6.82% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.44% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Lille with odds of 2.1 at Betway.
Lille - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 50.44% | 2.1 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 18.9% | 3.2 at Ladbrokes |
Lille vs PSG Form
Lille and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
|
5
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
Lille and PSG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - UEFA Super Cup
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
Lille vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
A. Ribeiro
Marquinhos
N. Kamara
MidfielderF. Ruiz
J. Neves
ForwardD. Doue
O. Dembele
K. Kvaratskhelia
Most goals and assists
Lille
PSG
H. Igamane
(7 Goals)
J. Neves
(5 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
Vitinha
(7 Assists)
Lille - PSG Key Points
- PSG are coming off two straight wins.
- Lille lost both of their latest league matches.
- PSG are unbeaten in eight matches against Lille.
- PSG have only suffered one loss this season.
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Our Lille vs PSG Prediction
Lille have a lengthy winless run against PSG and that could return to haunt them, when we put into perspective the two sides’ recent performances. The hosts are on a losing trail in Ligue 1, having faced just two of the top sides in the league.
Against PSG it will definitely be a tougher outing. The visitors have recovered well from the loss to Marseille and come into this as favorites. Our prediction for Lille v PSG is that PSG wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille PSG
| Lille vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 4.75 | 4.2 | -11.6% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 3.9 | -7.1% |
| PSG wins | 1.62 | 1.8 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 55.6% (-6.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
