Lille vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
European hopeful Lille welcome relegation-threatened Nantes this weekend in the French Ligue 1. After 23 rounds of play, Lille sit in fifth place and have a 20-point lead on their struggling visitors, who are down in 17th. Let's have a look at our prediction for this match.
Lille are coming off an exciting victory in the Europa League that allowed them to continue in Europe. Les Dogues were 2-0 winners away to Red Star Belgrade in the second leg of their playoff tie for the round of 16.
Bruno Gensio’s men had lost the first leg at home and had it all to do in Serbia. The win followed a 1-0 win away to Angers in the league last weekend, which had ended a four-game winless run.
Lille, who defeated Nantes in the reverse game 2-0, have accumulated 37 points in the league and are three points off the Champions League places.
While Lille have been battling for a place in Europe for next season, Nantes have struggled to keep themselves afloat. La Maison Jaune have won just four league fixtures and have lost a massive 14 games.
Only bottom-placed Metz, who are only four points behind them, have compiled a worse record. Ahmed Kantari’s men edged closer to survival last weekend thanks to a 2-0 victory at home against Le Havre.
The win snapped a six-game losing streak and moved them to 17 points, six points from safety.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lille v Nantes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.47 | 4.6 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.1 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.3 | 6.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Nantes?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Nantes match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2026 between Lille and Nantes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.81% for a win of Lille against Nantes with odds of 1.5 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Nantes is 12.97% with odds of 4.73 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Nantes vs Lille with odds of 7.5 at LSbet.
Lille - Nantes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Nantes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 50.81% | 1.5 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.81% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lille/Lille | 19.11% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Nantes Form
Lille and Nantes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Lille and Nantes Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Nantes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
27 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Lille against Nantes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderR. Perraud
A. Mandi
T. Meunier
A. Bouaddi
N. Bentaleb
O. Giroud
N. Edjouma
S. Diaoune
P. Carlgren
DefenderF. Guilbert
T. Tati
MidfielderI. Sissoko
D. Assoumani
R. Cabella
F. Coquelin
M. Mohamed
M. Abline
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderA. Ribeiro
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
ForwardH. Igamane
K. Amian
Most goals and assists
Lille
Nantes
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(8 Goals)
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez
(5 Assists)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
Lille - Nantes Key Points
- Lille have kept back-to-back clean sheets.
- Nantes have scored more than one goal once in their last seven outings.
- None of Lille’s last seven opponents has managed to score more than one goal.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in the last three meetings between Nantes and Lille.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Lille vs Nantes Prediction
Our prediction for Lille v Nantes is for less than 2.5 goals. This fixture has, in recent editions, seen an under 2.5 goals outcome. We are confident this trend will continue, given the two teams’ recent struggles in scoring.
Though they are faring much better than their visitors, Lille are not a free-scoring side, and in recent weeks, their goal-scoring form has dwindled. They have relied heavily on their defensive strengths to navigate through. They should therefore be able to frustrate a Nantes team that has scored multiple times in a match once in the last seven games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Nantes
| Lille vs Nantes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.45 | 1.5 | +3.4% |
| Draw | 4.88 | 4.73 | -3.1% |
| Nantes wins | 8.2 | 7.5 | -8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 66.7% (-2.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
