Lille vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Auxerre heads to Lille this weekend on the final day of the 2025/26 French Ligue 1 campaign, looking to avoid relegation. Many of these teams’ ambitions are hinged on this game: Lille for Europe and Auxerre looking at survival. As such, an all-out attack is expected, and with the last five meetings seeing 18 goals, a prediction in the goals market can pass here.
Lille will seal qualification to next season’s Champions League league stage with a victory here. It is, therefore, a must-win fixture for them. Les Dogues, who are already assured of European football for next season, occupy the final UCL automatic spot.
They have racked up 61 points and have a slim one-point advantage over fourth-placed Lyon. Lille, who could slip to fifth if circumstances go against them on Sunday, are unbeaten in seven. They defeated Monaco 1-0 last time out for their fifth win in this stretch.
Auxerre also have plenty to gain from this fixture. Les Ajaïstes are fighting for survival and will secure it with a win. Auxerre sits just outside the relegation zone due to having a stronger goal difference.
They are tied on 31 points with 16th-placed Nice, whom they have a -11 goal difference advantage over. Christophe Pelissier’s men have given their survival hopes a massive boost in recent weeks and will arrive in Lille confident of getting the job done.
Auxerre have lost just once in their last seven outings and are on a two-match winning run. They defeated Nice 2-1 last time out.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lille v Auxerre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.84 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.84 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.7 | 7.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Auxerre?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Auxerre match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Lille and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.77% for a win of Lille against Auxerre with odds of 1.42 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Auxerre is 39.58% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Lille with odds of 8.8 at 888Starz.
Lille - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Auxerre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 44.77% | 1.42 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 53.47% | 2.15 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 26.6% | 4.25 at LSbet |
Lille vs Auxerre Form
Lille and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
Lille and Auxerre Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
7 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
18 Dec 2021 - French Cup
Lille against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderAlexsandro
C. Verdonk
C. Mbemba
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
G. Perrin
O. Giroud
N. Edjouma
T. De Percin
DefenderM. Senaya
F. Sierralta
MidfielderL. Dioubate
T. Devernois
A. Diousse
ForwardJ. Casimir
M. Cissokho
Missing players
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
ForwardH. Igamane
F. Oppegard
B. Okoh
C. Akpa
MidfielderR. Faivre
Most goals and assists
Lille
Auxerre
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(8 Goals)
L. Sinayoko
(12 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(5 Assists)
L. Sinayoko
(4 Assists)
Lille - Auxerre Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last two meetings between Lille and Auxerre.
- Auxerre have scored at least two goals in each of their last four fixtures.
- Lille have scored over 50 league goals.
- Auxerre haven’t kept a clean sheet in four outings.
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Our Lille vs Auxerre Prediction
Our prediction for Lille v Auxerre is for more than 2.5 goals. A lot is riding on this fixture for both teams. Lille are looking at qualifying for the Champions League, while Auxerre are fighting for survival. It is a do-or-die final day for both teams, and as a result, we can expect to see goals.
Auxerre have been in terrific form lately and have been lifted by their sharpness in attack. Lille are also in strong form and are one of the more potent sides in the French top flight. This fixture has also seen at least four goals scored in each of the last two times it has been played.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Auxerre
| Lille vs Auxerre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.37 | 1.42 | +3.6% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 5.2 | -9.6% |
| Auxerre wins | 8.75 | 8.8 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.0% and is now 70.4% (-2.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
