Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions
For the second time in a span of five days, Lens will be hosting Toulouse, this time though, in the French Cup. This will be a semi-final clash for the right to face Strasbourg or Nice in the final. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Lens came from two goals down to record a routine win against Toulouse. The 3-2 win at home wasn’t just a third victory in five outings but a crucial warm-up for this next game.
This is a fixture that rarely troubles Lens, who eliminated Lyon in the quarter-finals. Lens have won eight of their last 10 meetings with Toulouse, only losing once.
At home, they have four wins in five against this visitor.
Toulouse will be looking to put a halt to this poor run against Lens. It is not just that, though, as they are on a run of three straight defeats.
The latest of them was against this same opponent, but more concerning as well is the weight of these defeats. In each of the losses, Toulouse conceded at least three goals.
In only one of their last five matches did they keep a clean sheet, with the other four shipping a total of 13 goals. While Toulouse have struggled against top teams, they eliminated Marseille in the last round, albeit through penalties.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lens v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.24 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.1 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.2 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Toulouse match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2026 between Lens and Toulouse in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.45% for a win of Lens against Toulouse with odds of 1.56 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Toulouse is 13.25% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lens with odds of 6.1 at Melbet.
Lens - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 66.45% | 1.56 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.25% | 1.86 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lens/Lens | 30.69% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
Lens vs Toulouse Form
Lens and Toulouse Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
Lens against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Gorgelin
DefenderR. Aguilar
A. Masuaku
A. Bulatovic
A. Haidara
A. Sima
R. Fofana
F. Sotoca
W. Said
G. Restes
DefenderW. Kamanzi
G. Bakhouche Piernas
MidfielderM. Sauer
A. Vossah
J. Russell Rowe
J. Vignolo
I. Azizi
Missing players
R. Gurtner
DefenderJ. Gradit
K. Antonio
A. Francis
R. Messali
Lens - Toulouse Key Points
- Toulouse lost all their last three matches.
- Lens have won three of their last five matches.
- Lens won eight of their last 10 games against Toulouse.
- Toulouse suffered five losses in their last seven away games.
- Toulouse lost four times in the last five away meetings with Lens.
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Our Lens vs Toulouse Prediction
Lens are enjoying a strong season and are in the race for two titles – this cup and Ligue 1. Their form this season definitely gives them the belief, and they will need that as they face Toulouse for the third time this season. Four times in the last five meetings with Toulouse, they won.
While Toulouse will want to bounce back here, their struggles against top teams look like their biggest impediment. They are coming off three straight defeats here, all against sides currently in the Ligue 1 top three. That and their form against Lens convinces us of a home triumph. Our prediction for Lens v Toulouse is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Toulouse
| Lens vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.95 | 1.56 | -20.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 4.6 | +35.3% |
| Toulouse wins | 4.3 | 6.1 | +41.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 64.1% (12.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lens vs. Toulouse game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lens and Toulouse when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on French Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
