Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
In the next five days, Lens and Toulouse are going to meet twice. The first of them happens this Friday, in Ligue 1. Second placed Lens plays host to mid-table side Toulouse with 22 points standing between them. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Two defeats in the last three league matches have seen Lens’ Ligue 1 title hopes dwindle. Les Sang et Or are coming off a 3-0 defeat away to Lille which left them four points adrift of PSG who have a game in hand.
Two wins only in six league games and losing three in the process might indicate Lens are getting satisfied with a second placed finish. They’ve won their last two away matches though those were against teams in the bottom six – Angers and Metz.
Toulouse will be meeting a third side in the top three in a third straight game. Like their hosts, they are also coming from a loss at the hands of Lille.
Les Violets are fresh from a 4-0 home defeat to top-four chasing Lille. Earlier they had suffered a 3-1 defeat against PSG.
Notably, Toulouse have tasted defeat against each of the sides currently in the top four. In the reverse meeting, Lens won this encounter 3-0, marking Toulouse’s seventh defeat across the teams’ previous nine meetings.
In 10 league matches, Toulouse have managed two wins and lost six times.
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Lens v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.64 | 6.95 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.64 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.7 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Toulouse match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2026 between Lens and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.11% for a win of Lens against Toulouse with odds of 1.49 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Toulouse is 13.11% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lens with odds of 8 at Bet365.
Lens - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 67.11% | 1.49 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.83% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lens/Lens | 31.13% | 2.15 at LSbet |
Lens vs Toulouse Form
Lens and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
Lens and Toulouse Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
2 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Lens against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Gorgelin
DefenderS. Baidoo
R. Aguilar
MidfielderA. Bulatovic
A. Haidara
ForwardA. Sima
A. Saint-Maximin
O. Edouard
F. Thauvin
K. Haug
DefenderG. Bakhouche Piernas
D. Methalie
D. Sidibe
M. Sauer
P. Diop
J. Russell Rowe
J. Vignolo
I. Azizi
Missing players
R. Gurtner
DefenderJ. Gradit
K. Antonio
M. McKenzie
MidfielderA. Francis
R. Messali
ForwardF. Magri
Most goals and assists
Lens
Toulouse
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
Lens - Toulouse Key Points
- Lens won 13 of their last 14 home matches in all competitions.
- Toulouse are coming off two straight defeats ahead of this game.
- In their last nine meetings, Toulouse lost seven times, winning once.
- Toulouse have lost to all the sides in the Ligue 1 top four this season.
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Our Lens vs Toulouse Prediction
Lens won the reverse meeting with Toulouse 3-0, marking a seventh victory in nine meetings. They will come here eyeing the same after their stumble in the title race in recent outings. While Lens have been struggling lately, their case is not as bad as Toulouse’s.
The visitors are on two straight losses and they have tasted defeat against each of the sides currently in the Ligue 1 top four this season. Our prediction for Lens v Toulouse is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Toulouse
| Lens vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.67 | 1.49 | -10.8% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 5.2 | +20.1% |
| Toulouse wins | 5.36 | 8 | +49.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 67.1% (7.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
