Lens vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens are back at the Ligue 1 summit and will be looking to stay on beyond matchday 23 when they host Monaco. Going into this match, they are on 52 points, 21 ahead of their visitors. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
Lens took full advantage of PSG’s shock loss to Rennes in the last round. They responded with a 5-0 win at Paris FC to retake the lead they had lost three matchdays earlier.
Their fourth straight victory will definitely build their confidence. Having scored three or more in their last three matches will add to that. In the reverse meeting between these two, Les Sang et Or won 4-1.
In each of the last two meetings with Lens, Monaco conceded four goals. They come into this game winless in three meetings with Lens, the first in that sequence having been a draw.
Some stability is growing in Monaco, and they have stayed unbeaten in the last four league games (2W, 2D). However, Les Monegasques had another disappointing outing last time out.
They fell 3-2 to PSG in the first leg of their Champions League round of 16 knockout playoff. It will particularly pain them that they were at home and had led 2-0 in the game.
Conceding 3+ in four of their last 10 matches is also telling of their defence.
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Lens v Monaco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.72 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.18 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.18 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Monaco?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Monaco match is: Lens wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Lens and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.16% for a win of Lens against Monaco with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Monaco is 18.6% with odds of 4.35 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Lens with odds of 4.66 at 888Starz.
Lens - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 60.16% | 1.75 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.29% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 25.64% | 5 at Bet365 |
Lens vs Monaco Form
Lens and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
Lens and Monaco Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
Lens vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Jan 2024 - French Cup
2 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
Lens against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
M. Gorgelin
DefenderA. Masuaku
R. Aguilar
F. Sylla
A. Bermont
A. Haidara
ForwardA. Sima
R. Fofana
F. Sotoca
Y. Lienard
J. Stawiecki
MidfielderI. Toure
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
S. Nibombe
A. Bamba
M. Biereth
P. Brunner
A. Fati
Missing players
J. Gradit
J. Chavez
S. Baidoo
K. Antonio
MidfielderM. Sangare
L. Hradecky
DefenderE. Dier
M. Salisu
Vanderson
C. Mawissa
MidfielderP. Pogba
T. Minamino
A. Golovin
M. Akliouche
P. Cabral
Most goals and assists
Lens
Monaco
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
Lens - Monaco Key Points
- At home, Lens have posted 11 straight wins.
- Lens have beaten Monaco in the last two meetings.
- Monaco are winless in four away matches, losing twice.
- Lens are coming off four straight wins across all competitions.
- Four times in their last nine matches, Monaco suffered defeat.
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Our Lens vs Monaco Prediction
Monaco have had an on-and-off campaign, and they come here in unconvincing form. They will arrive for this match as the underdogs and not really a motivated lot. In their latest outing, Monaco fell to PSG, and they do not have a very impressive run in away matches.
The visitors failed to win any of their last four away matches and lost half of the last 10 on the road. That form will not work for them facing a side with 11 straight home wins. Our prediction for Lens v Monaco is that Lens wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Monaco
| Lens vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.97 | 1.75 | -11.2% |
| Draw | 4.01 | 4.35 | +8.5% |
| Monaco wins | 3.85 | 4.66 | +21.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.8% and is now 57.1% (6.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
