England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah in Championship Predictions
Leeds United will welcome Stoke City on Monday, hoping to confirm their promotion from the EFL Championship. After 43 games, Leeds are top of the standings and have won 41 more points than Stoke in 16th. Below is our prediction for this match.
Leeds are in the driving seat to win promotion as league champions. They, however, cannot afford to drop points in their remaining three games if they are to secure both.
Daniel Farke’s men have amassed 91 points, the same as second-placed Burnley and have a single-digit goals difference to their advantage. They are also just five points clear of third-placed Sheffield United.
The Whites, who’ve lost just once in the league since December, have won their last three Championship games. They defeated Oxford 1-0 last time out.
Stoke are looking below them more than they are focusing on the teams above them. Though they are almost seven points clear of the relegation zone, Mark Robins’ men aren’t out of the woods yet.
The Potters have to win at least one of their remaining games to be certain of survival. Stoke, who’ve amassed 50 points thanks to 12 wins and 14 draws, haven’t lost any of their last five games.
They earned their second successive victory and third in this unbeaten stretch on Friday at home against Wednesday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.18 | 5.3 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.06 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Stoke match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2025 between Leeds and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.84% for a win of Leeds against Stoke with odds of 1.29 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Stoke is 21.51% with odds of 6.15 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Leeds with odds of 15 at Betfair.
Leeds - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 61.84% | 1.29 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.15% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | 2.3 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 32.33% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Stoke Form
Leeds and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
97 | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 64 |
|
18
|
50 | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | -17 |
Leeds and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
Leeds vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
0 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
5 Mar 2024 - Championship
25 Oct 2023 - Championship
9 Jul 2020 - Championship
5 Aug 2018 - Championship
Leeds against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Stoke
J. Piroe
(19 Goals)
L. Baker
(7 Goals)
,
M. Manhoef
(7 Goals)
M. Solomon
(13 Assists)
A. Moran
(6 Assists)
Leeds - Stoke Key Points
- The last three meetings between Leeds and Stoke have seen an under 2.5 goals outcome.
- Stoke have failed to score in three of their last four meetings with Leeds.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Stoke’s last four fixtures.
- Leeds and Stoke are among the teams with the most clean sheets this season.
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Our Leeds vs Stoke Prediction
Our prediction for Leeds United vs Stoke City is on the goals market for this match to see under 2.5. Stoke and Leeds sit in the top 10 for most clean sheets kept in the league this season. In recent outings, both teams have flexed their defensive rigidity.
Leeds have conceded just twice in their last four games, which has been the case with Stoke over the same stretch of fixtures. A low-scoring game is therefore very likely here, given Stoke’s lack of scoring output in recent meetings with Leeds. The hosts are also not scoring as freely as in the early stages of the campaign.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Stoke
| Leeds vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.25 | 1.27 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 5.75 | 0% |
| Stoke wins | 12 | 10 | -16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 78.7% (-1.3%)
Use the Leeds vs. Stoke game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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