Lecce vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Lecce have one of the toughest fixtures in the ninth round of matches in Serie A when they welcome Napoli. Heading into the round, 16th-placed Lecce will be looking to shock the league leaders. Below we have a prediction for this match.
It hasn’t been a productive season for Lecce so far. They only have one win from the opening eight rounds, leaving them two points above the relegation zone.
The hosts have been poor defensively, which remains a key cause of their struggles. With 13 goals conceded, only one side is doing worse – Torino. They let in three more in their latest outing, a 3-2 defeat to Udinese.
Lecce have managed just one win in their last 15 league games at home.
Napoli’s season has been a shaky one so far, and before the last round, they had suffered back-to-back defeats.
They recovered well to beat title rivals Inter Milan 3-1 to mask the disappointment, especially from the humiliating 6-2 defeat to PSV. That win aided Napoli's rise to the Serie A summit, taking advantage of results elsewhere.
Here they have a chance to open up a three-point gap at the top, as they face an opponent they’ve avoided defeat to in six straight meetings. In each of their last four matches against Lecce, Napoli kept clean sheets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 3.6 | 1.62 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
6 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.25 | 3.65 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Napoli match is: Napoli to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2025 between Lecce and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.38% for a win of Lecce against Napoli with odds of 7.36 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Napoli is 16.63% with odds of 4.4 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Lecce with odds of 1.66 at 888Starz.
Lecce - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 48.99% | 1.66 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.62% | 2.26 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 18.4% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Lecce vs Napoli Form
Lecce and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
34 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
|
16
|
16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -11 |
Lecce and Napoli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
Lecce vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 May 2024 - Serie A
30 Sept 2023 - Serie A
7 Apr 2023 - Serie A
31 Aug 2022 - Serie A
Players list
W. Falcone
DefenderD. Melo Veiga
K. Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel
A. Gallo
MidfielderY. Maleh
Y. Ramadani
T. Morente
ForwardB. Pierret
N. Stulic
K. N-Dri
V. Milinkovic-Savic
DefenderG. Di Lorenzo
A. Buongiorno
J. Jesus
L. Spinazzola
MidfielderF. Anguissa
B. Gilmour
M. Gutierrez
ForwardS. Mctominay
R. Hojlund
D. Neres
Substitutes
C. Fruchtl
J. Samooja
DefenderC. Kouassi
C. Ndaba
J. Siebert
N. Kovac
MidfielderK. N-Dri
B. Pierret
T. Helgason
Y. Maleh
M. Kaba
A. Sala
ForwardT. Morente
N. Stulic
N. Contini
M. Ferrante
DefenderP. Mazzocchi
M. Gutierrez
L. Marianucci
L. Spinazzola
A. Rrahmani
S. Beukema
MidfielderA. Vergara
S. Mctominay
G. Ambrosino
D. Neres
R. Hojlund
Missing players
G. Jean
M. Ignacio
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
H. Rafia
ForwardR. Sottil
A. Meret
MidfielderL. Hasa
C. Saco
S. Lobotka
K. De Bruyne
ForwardR. Lukaku
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Napoli
M. Berisha
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Coulibaly
(2 Goals)
, 
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(8 Goals)
M. Berisha
(3 Assists)
D. Neres
(4 Assists)
Lecce - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli kept four clean sheets in their latest meetings with Lecce.
- Lecce have one win in their last 15 home matches in Serie A.
- Lecce have one win in their last 10 matches against Napoli.
- Napoli posted wins in six of their latest 10 matches.
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Our Lecce vs Napoli Prediction
One area Napoli have struggled with this season is in away matches. They are coming into this one winless in the last four, all having ended in defeat. However, the last time they met a side in the bottom five, they posted what’s so far their second away win of the season.
Napoli will be confident of getting a third, given their record against Lecce. While they haven't been great defensively, we are backing the visitors for a clean sheet as well. Our prediction for Napoli v Lecce is for Napoli to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Napoli
| Lecce vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 7.5 | 6 | -20.0% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 3.6 | -20.0% |
| Napoli wins | 1.4 | 1.62 | +15.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 61.7% (-9.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lecce vs. Napoli game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
