Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Le Havre
15/02/2026 09:00
Toulouse

Prediction :

 

Toulouse wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Toulouse are set to become only the 14th team to play 2000 Ligue 1 matches when they travel to Le Havre. In this historic game, they will also seek to rise into the top six by beating their 13th placed hosts. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Le Havre have been putting in a shift, and have opened up a nine-point gap from the drop zone. That came through an important 2-1 win at home to Strasbourg last time out.

There’s still a lot of ground to cover as they navigate survival. Le Havre have only managed five Ligue 1 wins in 21 matches this season. However, in their last 10 home league games, Le Club Doyen suffered only one defeat.

Toulouse suffered a 1-0 defeat to Angers in their last match, which also marked their 1000th away game in Ligue 1. That brought to a halt their run of five matches without defeat and as also the first time in four matches that they conceded a goal.

having collected one point from their last two matches is the reason Toulouse are still outside the top six. Their race for a place in European football will be the key motivation here.

Head-to-head records favor Les Violets having not lost to Le Havre in three meetings, winning twice.

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Le Havre v Toulouse Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.1 3.25 2.43
Melbet
3.4 3.1 2.3
Betwinner
3.12 3.14 2.42
Bet365
3.4 3.1 2.3
Roobet
3.4 3 2.3
Check all Le Havre vs Toulouse odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Le Havre and Toulouse?

Our prediction for the Le Havre vs Toulouse match is: Toulouse wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Le Havre and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.94% for a win of Le Havre against Toulouse with odds of 3.45 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Havre vs Toulouse is 31.41% with odds of 3.25 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Le Havre with odds of 2.51 at 888Starz.

Le Havre - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:

Le Havre Toulouse Prediction Probability Odds
Toulouse wins 43.65% 2.51 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 59.07% 2.21 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 59.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse 24.9% 5.75 at LSbet

Le Havre vs Toulouse Form

Le Havre and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Toulouse
44 33 12 8 13 +1
14 Le Havre
35 34 7 14 13 -12

Le Havre and Toulouse Last Matches

Le Havre
Le Havre Last matches
L W D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Strasbourg

30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Le Havre

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Angers

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Le Havre
0 :  2
Amiens SC
L D L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Strasbourg

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Angers

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Le Havre
0 :  2
Amiens SC

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Paris FC

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille
W D L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Le Havre

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Le Havre

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Le Havre
Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Toulouse

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Toulouse
1 :  0
Amiens SC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  2
Toulouse

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
5 :  1
Nice

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Angers
1 :  1
Toulouse
L W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Toulouse
1 :  0
Amiens SC

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Auxerre

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
5 :  1
Nice

2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  3
Lens

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  0
Strasbourg

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Angers
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  0
Toulouse

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  2
Toulouse

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Angers
1 :  1
Toulouse

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Lyon La Duchere
1 :  2
Toulouse

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Le Havre vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Le Havre

33 %

Draw

17 %

Toulouse

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre

23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  4
Toulouse

15 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Le Havre

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  0
Toulouse

5 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Le Havre

21 Feb 2022 - Ligue 2

Toulouse
4 :  0
Le Havre

Le Havre against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11

Le Havre

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

99
M. Diaw
29
S. Zagadou
4
G. Lloris
93
A. Sangante
7
L. Nego
19
L. Gourna-Douath
26
S. Ebonog
18
Y. Zouaoui
14
R. N'Diaye
45
I. Soumare
17
S. Boufal
20
E. Da Silva
15
A. Donnum
10
Y. Gboho
19
D. Sidibe
18
P. Diop
23
C. Casseres Jr
22
R. Messali
3
M. McKenzie
4
C. Cresswell
2
R. Nicolaisen
1
G. Restes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Toulouse

Substitutes

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

L. Mpasi

M. Diaw 46'

Defender

T. Pembele

S. Zagadou 84'

F. Doucoure

Midfielder

G. Kyeremeh

D. Mosengo

S. Boufal 64'

Y. Kechta

R. N'Diaye 90'

Forward

K. Quetant

A. Samatta

S. Ebonog 65'

N. Obougou

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

N. Said Mchindra

K. Haug

Defender

W. Kamanzi

D. Methalie

R. Nicolaisen 62'

S. Koumbassa

Midfielder

M. Sauer

C. Casseres Jr 62'

Forward

J. Russell Rowe

E. Da Silva 62'

S. Hidalgo

R. Messali 30'

J. Vignolo

D. Sidibe 83'

Missing players

Le Havre
Le Havre
Defender

A. Seko

E. Youte Kinkoue

Midfielder

A. Toure

Forward

E. Koffi Vinette

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

A. Dominguez

Midfielder

A. Francis

A. Vossah

Forward

F. Magri

I. Azizi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Le Havre
CD Huachipato Toulouse
Top Goalscorer
Senegal I. Soumare (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France Y. Gboho (8 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal I. Soumare (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina S. Hidalgo (5 Assists)

Le Havre - Toulouse Key Points

  1. Toulouse won in three of their last five visits to Le Havre.
  2. Le Havre have suffered five defeats in their last 10 outings.
  3. Le Havre failed to win in 16 of their 21 Ligue 1 matches this season.
  4. Toulouse are undefeated in three matches against Le Havre, winning twice.
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Our Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction

Toulouse’s six-match unbeaten streak on the road came to a halt last time out, and they will be keen on restarting another such run. They face an opponent they’ve done well against in recent meetings and there’s really not much doubt they can bank three points.

With European places within touching distance, Toulouse have a reason to push for a win here. However, Le Havre coming from a win will also have their confidence levels high. Still, our prediction for Le Havre v Toulouse is that Toulouse wins.

Prediction :

 

Toulouse wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Le Havre Toulouse

Le Havre vs Toulouse Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Le Havre wins 3.45 3.45 0%
Draw 3.2 3.25 +1.6%
Toulouse wins 2.22 2.51 +13.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Toulouse is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 13.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 39.8% (-5.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction