Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse are set to become only the 14th team to play 2000 Ligue 1 matches when they travel to Le Havre. In this historic game, they will also seek to rise into the top six by beating their 13th placed hosts. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Le Havre have been putting in a shift, and have opened up a nine-point gap from the drop zone. That came through an important 2-1 win at home to Strasbourg last time out.
There’s still a lot of ground to cover as they navigate survival. Le Havre have only managed five Ligue 1 wins in 21 matches this season. However, in their last 10 home league games, Le Club Doyen suffered only one defeat.
Toulouse suffered a 1-0 defeat to Angers in their last match, which also marked their 1000th away game in Ligue 1. That brought to a halt their run of five matches without defeat and as also the first time in four matches that they conceded a goal.
having collected one point from their last two matches is the reason Toulouse are still outside the top six. Their race for a place in European football will be the key motivation here.
Head-to-head records favor Les Violets having not lost to Le Havre in three meetings, winning twice.
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Le Havre v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.1 | 3.25 | 2.43 |
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3.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
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3.12 | 3.14 | 2.42 |
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3.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
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3.4 | 3 | 2.3 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Le Havre and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Le Havre vs Toulouse match is: Toulouse wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Le Havre and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.94% for a win of Le Havre against Toulouse with odds of 3.45 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Havre vs Toulouse is 31.41% with odds of 3.25 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Le Havre with odds of 2.51 at 888Starz.
Le Havre - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Le Havre Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 43.65% | 2.51 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 59.07% | 2.21 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 24.9% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Le Havre vs Toulouse Form
Le Havre and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Le Havre and Toulouse Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2022 - Ligue 2
Le Havre against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Mpasi
T. Pembele
F. Doucoure
MidfielderG. Kyeremeh
D. Mosengo
Y. Kechta
K. Quetant
A. Samatta
N. Obougou
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
D. Methalie
S. Koumbassa
MidfielderM. Sauer
J. Russell Rowe
S. Hidalgo
J. Vignolo
Missing players
A. Seko
E. Youte Kinkoue
MidfielderA. Toure
ForwardE. Koffi Vinette
A. Dominguez
MidfielderA. Francis
A. Vossah
ForwardF. Magri
I. Azizi
Most goals and assists
Le Havre - Toulouse Key Points
- Toulouse won in three of their last five visits to Le Havre.
- Le Havre have suffered five defeats in their last 10 outings.
- Le Havre failed to win in 16 of their 21 Ligue 1 matches this season.
- Toulouse are undefeated in three matches against Le Havre, winning twice.
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Our Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction
Toulouse’s six-match unbeaten streak on the road came to a halt last time out, and they will be keen on restarting another such run. They face an opponent they’ve done well against in recent meetings and there’s really not much doubt they can bank three points.
With European places within touching distance, Toulouse have a reason to push for a win here. However, Le Havre coming from a win will also have their confidence levels high. Still, our prediction for Le Havre v Toulouse is that Toulouse wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Le Havre Toulouse
| Le Havre vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre wins | 3.45 | 3.45 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.25 | +1.6% |
| Toulouse wins | 2.22 | 2.51 | +13.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 39.8% (-5.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.