Le Havre vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
It all looks like Metz’s relegation from Ligue 1 will be confirmed this weekend in their away trip to Le Havre. At the start of matchday 30, Metz are bottom of the standings, while Le Havre are 14th, five points above the bottom three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Le Havre are searching for their first win since February and will be hoping to bag it against Ligue 1’s weakest side. They’ve built up to this one with three straight 1-1 draws, the most recent being against Angers.
While Le Havre haven’t been at their best ahead of this game, five of their six league wins came at home, and they will be banking on that.
On the other hand, Metz have only managed one win away from home this season. The tough state they find themselves in is bigger than that.
Their stay in the topflight is so fragile that they could be relegated even before they enter this game. Even if they escape that, any dropped points against Le Havre will still deliver demotion.
It has been that bad this season, and as things stand, Metz can only stay up through the playoff route. Coming into this game, the Maroons are without a win in 18 Ligue 1 matches.
They’ve managed just three wins all season with one coming on the road.
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Le Havre v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.16 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.16 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 5.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Le Havre and Metz?
Our prediction for the Le Havre vs Metz match is: Le Havre wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/04/2026 between Le Havre and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.43% for a win of Le Havre against Metz with odds of 1.62 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Havre vs Metz is 36.15% with odds of 4.37 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Le Havre with odds of 5.94 at 888Starz.
Le Havre - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Le Havre Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre wins | 51.43% | 1.62 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 54.95% | 2.05 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Le Havre | 25.4% | 4.5 at LSbet |
Le Havre vs Metz Form
Le Havre and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Le Havre and Metz Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2023 - Ligue 2
24 Oct 2022 - Ligue 2
4 Mar 2019 - Ligue 2
Le Havre against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Mpasi
DefenderT. Pembele
E. Youte Kinkoue
L. Gourna-Douath
G. Kyeremeh
D. Mosengo
S. Boufal
F. Mambimbi
N. Obougou
J. Fischer
DefenderK. Kouao
B. Stambouli
M. Colin
MidfielderJ. Pandore
G. Abuashvili
L. Michal
N. Mbala
Missing players
A. Sangante
S. Zagadou
MidfielderA. Toure
O. Ba
DefenderF. Ballo-Toure
C. Melieres
MidfielderB. Traore
I. Guerti
B. Munongo
ForwardH. Diallo
J. Mangondo
Most goals and assists
Le Havre
Metz
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Le Havre - Metz Key Points
- Metz have only won once away from home this season.
- Five of Le Havre’s six wins this season came at home.
- Le Havre have lost once in their last seven home games.
- Five of Metz’s last six matches ended in defeat.
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Our Le Havre vs Metz Prediction
Both Metz and Le Havre are limping into this game. However, the case for Metz is more dire as they start the round at the bottom of the standings. Their relegation is likely to be confirmed this weekend.
In the last nine meetings between these two sides, Le Havre have only lost once, and five ended in draws. Metz cannot afford either of those results this weekend, but having won just once on the road, a win here doesn’t look likely. Our prediction for Le Havre v Metz is that Le Havre wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Le Havre Metz
| Le Havre vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre wins | 1.96 | 1.62 | -17.3% |
| Draw | 3.76 | 4.37 | +16.2% |
| Metz wins | 4.17 | 5.94 | +42.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Le Havre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 61.7% (10.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
