Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Sassuolo and Lazio, two sides with slim hopes for Europe, will be facing off this Monday in the Italian Serie A. Lazio, sitting 11th, plays host to ninth-placed Sassuolo, with the two sides separated by four points. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Lazio can’t point to this as their best season. Even without European football, they haven't been able to make the most of the extended rest. They are coming off a 2-2 draw with Atalanta in the Coppa Italia.
However, a 2-0 loss against Torino marked a ninth league defeat of the season and left them just 10 points above the drop zone. With 34 points, Lazio are actually closer to the bottom three than the top six, meaning their return to Europe is some distance away.
Sassuolo have higher hopes for Europe, as they enter this round 12 points below the top six. In recent times I Neroverdi have turned on the style and come here with four wins in the last five games.
They are coming off a 2-1 win against Atalanta, which was also their 11th in 27 Serie A matches. Sassuolo have also lost the same number of games, and among their targets here will be completing a double over Lazio.
In the reverse fixture, they won 1-0. They are coming here on two straight wins on the road, and in their last trip to the capital, Sassuolo managed a 1-1 draw.
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Lazio v Sassuolo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.34 | 3.15 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.17 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.17 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Sassuolo?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Sassuolo match is: Sassuolo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2026 between Lazio and Sassuolo in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.73% for a win of Lazio against Sassuolo with odds of 2.4 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Sassuolo is 31.51% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Sassuolo vs Lazio with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
Lazio - Sassuolo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Sassuolo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo wins | 37.76% | 3.45 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.27% | 2.18 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sassuolo | 16.89% | 7.5 at LSbet |
Lazio vs Sassuolo Form
Lazio and Sassuolo's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
|
11
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 |
Lazio and Sassuolo Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
19 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
26 May 2024 - Serie A
21 Oct 2023 - Serie A
3 May 2023 - Serie A
15 Jan 2023 - Serie A
2 Apr 2022 - Serie A
Lazio against Sassuolo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Furlanetto
G. Giacomone
DefenderO. Provstgaard
L. Pellegrini
E. Hysaj
Patric
M. Lazzari
A. Przyborek
R. Belahyane
ForwardPedro
B. Dia
T. Noslin
P. Ratkov
M. Cancellieri
S. Turati
G. Zacchi
G. Satalino
DefenderS. Walukiewicz
J. Doig
F. Romagna
Pedro Felipe
MidfielderE. Iannoni
A. Vranckx
N. Matic
D. Bakola
C. Volpato
ForwardL. Moro
Missing players
S. Gigot
MidfielderT. Basic
F. Cande
E. Pieragnolo
MidfielderD. Boloca
ForwardA. Pinamonti
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Sassuolo
G. Isaksen
(5 Goals)
, 
Pedro
(5 Goals)
A. Pinamonti
(9 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Basic
(3 Assists)
A. Lauriente
(9 Assists)
Lazio - Sassuolo Key Points
- Lazio lost three of their last six home matches.
- In their last six matches, Lazio remain winless.
- Sassuolo have won each of their last three outings.
- Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last two games against Lazio.
- Sassuolo only lost once in their last six games, winning the rest.
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Our Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction
A confirmation of Lazio’s poor season is the fact that they enter this round placed in the bottom half of the Serie A standings. They are closer to the relegation positions than the European football ones and aren’t helped by a poor run in recent matches.
In their last 10 outings, Lazio only won twice in regular time. At home, they’ve suffered three defeats in six matches and only won once in eight. Meanwhile, Sassuolo have five wins in their last six matches and are looking to seal a double over Lazio. Our prediction for Lazio v Sassuolo is that Sassuolo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Sassuolo
| Lazio vs Sassuolo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 2.08 | 2.4 | +15.4% |
| Draw | 3.37 | 3.3 | -2.1% |
| Sassuolo wins | 4.19 | 3.45 | -17.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sassuolo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.9% and is now 29.0% (5.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
