Lazio vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
23/11/2025 12:00
Lecce

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No

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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

With just four wins in 11 Serie A matches, Lazio have failed to bring out their competitive edge so far. They will hope to improve on that as they host Lecce, who are 15th, six places behind them. Read on to find our prediction for this match. 

Lazio will arrive for this game looking to bounce back after their 2-0 defeat to Inter Milan last time out. That’s already their fourth defeat of the season, but returning home will give them a lift. 

From Le Aquile’s tally of 15 points, 10 have been won at home, and they are coming from two straight wins in home matches.

The last time Lecce visited the capital for this game, they ended up returning home with three points. Against all odds, they claimed three points. 

Heading back there, Lecce will be hoping for a repeat. For any of their plans to work here, Lecce must get it right defensively. 

I Salentini will not have a problem on that aspect, having registered two straight clean sheets. Their 0-0 draw with Verona before the international break was actually their fourth clean sheet in six matches. 

The four goals they’ve conceded in that period came in two matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.75 3.25 5.25
Stake
1.81 3.4 5.4
Melbet
1.83 3.19 5.2
BC Game
1.77 3.2 5.4
Tonybet
1.82 3.45 5.4
Check all Lazio vs Lecce odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Lecce?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs Lecce match is: under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Lazio and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.96% for a win of Lazio against Lecce with odds of 1.85 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Lecce is 24.11% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Lazio with odds of 5.4 at Stake.

Lazio - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Lecce Prediction Probability Odds
Lazio wins 51.96% 1.85 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 59.71% 2.02 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 73.75%
Half-time / Full-time : Lazio/Lazio 21.63% 2.88 at Bet365

Lazio vs Lecce Form

Lazio and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Lazio
Lazio
28 20 7 7 6 +5
17
Lecce
Lecce
17 20 4 5 11 -15

Lazio and Lecce Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
D D W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Lazio

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Juventus

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  3
Torino FC
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Juventus

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  3
Torino FC

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Roma

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
4 :  0
Hellas Verona

16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
2 :  0
Atromitos Athinon
L L W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Lazio

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Lazio

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Lazio
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W D L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Hellas Verona

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce
L L D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Hellas Verona

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
Bologna

19 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Cagliari

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan
D L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

Lazio vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

33 %

Draw

17 %

Lecce

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Lecce

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Lazio

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Lecce

20 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Lazio

12 May 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Lecce

4 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Lazio

Lazio against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

94
I. Provedel
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
13
A. Romagnoli
3
L. Pellegrini
6
M. Guendouzi
32
D. Cataldi
26
T. Basic
18
G. Isaksen
19
B. Dia
10
M. Zaccagni
22
F. Camarda
23
R. Sottil
10
M. Berisha
7
T. Morente
20
Y. Ramadani
29
L. Coulibaly
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
4
K. Gaspar
17
D. Melo Veiga
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Lecce

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

C. Mandas

A. Furlanetto

Defender

O. Provstgaard

N. Tavares

E. Hysaj

Patric

M. Gila 87'

Midfielder

M. Vecino

D. Cataldi 46'

M. Lazzari

L. Pellegrini 75'

R. Belahyane

Forward

Pedro

G. Isaksen 82'

T. Noslin

B. Dia 87'

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

C. Kouassi

J. Siebert

C. Ndaba

M. Ignacio

N. Kovac

Midfielder

Y. Maleh

T. Helgason

S. Pierotti

R. Sottil 63'

A. Sala

M. Kaba

L. Coulibaly 76'

K. N’Dri

T. Morente 76'

Forward

L. Banda

M. Berisha 46'

N. Stulic

F. Camarda 46'

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

S. Gigot

Lecce
Lecce

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Zaccagni (3 Goals)
Italy M. Cancellieri (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast K. N’Dri (2 Goals) Mali L. Coulibaly (2 Goals) Albania M. Berisha (2 Goals) Zambia L. Banda (2 Goals) Serbia N. Stulic (2 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Best assists
Albania M. Berisha (3 Assists)

Lazio - Lecce Key Points

  1. Lazio’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
  2. Only one of Lazio’s last 10 matches had both teams score.
  3. Lecce’s last three matches have had under 2.5 goals.
  4. Both sides scored in only one of Lecce’s last six games.
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Our Lazio vs Lecce Prediction

When hosted in Lazio, three of the last five matches pitting these two sides ended in under three goals. That tallies with the trend in most of these teams’ recent matches, which have been low-scoring. For starters, both teams failed to score in their last outings before this meeting.

So apart from their matches just producing few goals, these sides are not regular scorers. Whenever they’ve met in recent times, especially when hosted by Lazio, under 2.5 goals has been the norm. Our prediction for Lazio v Lecce is, therefore, under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Lecce

Lazio vs Lecce Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lazio wins 1.55 1.85 +19.4%
Draw 4.24 3.45 -18.6%
Lecce wins 7.36 5.4 -26.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lazio is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 19.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 54.1% (-10.5%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Lecce Prediction