Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula in Europa League Predictions
Lazio have a date with destiny as Norwegian side Bodo/Glimt visits Rome for their Europa League quarter-final return leg this Thursday. The Italian side trails 2-0 from the first leg and will be banking on home form to try and overturn the deficit. Let’s have a look at the preview and a prediction for this match, which also marks the second meeting in history between the teams.
For Lazio, who entered the knockout stages as top dogs after topping the league phase, it could be a season-defining shock if they don't advance. This is their only chance of winning silverware this season and also one of their pathways to the Champions League.
While there is a lot attached to this match from the Lazio perspective, for Bodo/Glimt this is almost sentimental. If they do see off the Italians on aggregate, Bodo/Glimt will be the first Norwegian side to grace a European competition semi-final. The winner from this tie will face off with either Tottenham Hotspur or Eintracht Frankfurt.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Bodoe/Glimt Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.8 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.48 | 5.1 | 6.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Bodoe/Glimt?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt match is: Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2025 between Lazio and Bodoe/Glimt in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.66% for a win of Lazio against Bodoe/Glimt with odds of 1.67 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt is 34.25% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Bodoe/Glimt vs Lazio with odds of 7.5 at Betfair.
Lazio - Bodoe/Glimt Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Bodoe/Glimt Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bodoe/Glimt wins | 36.09% | 7.5 at Betfair |
| Under 2.5 | 52.85% | 2.47 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bodoe/Glimt | 18.84% | 15 at Betsson |
Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt Form
Lazio and Bodoe/Glimt Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
10 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
5 Apr 2025 - Eliteserien
30 Mar 2025 - Eliteserien
26 Mar 2025 - NM Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
5 Apr 2025 - Eliteserien
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Eliteserien
26 Mar 2025 - NM Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
Lazio - Bodoe/Glimt: Form Analysis
Lazio have an uphill task against a tricky Bodo/Glimt side, who carry to Rome a 2-0 lead. The hosts have had a tough run in recent weeks, and the loss in Norway just about exacerbated their situation.
They are coming from an impressive display in the Rome derby, but for all their effort, they only had a 1-1 draw with AS Roma to show. As a result, I Biancocelesti have just one win in the last seven matches.
Performances in Europe have been more encouraging. The loss to Bodo/Glimt was just their second in 11 Europa League matches, while they are unbeaten in 13 at home.
Lazio won seven of their last 13 home Europa League matches.
Bodo/Glimt come into this game from a very strong position and will hope to defend their lead, if not build on it. Their biggest concern ahead of this game will be a poor run away from home.
The Norwegians have managed seven wins in their 13 matches in this competition this season. Of those wins, only one came away from home, a 2-1 win at Braga. In the four away matches after that win in Portugal, Bodo/Glimt have gone winless, losing three.
They can bank on their scoring form on the road to boost their aggregate scores, though. In the last five away matches in the Europa League, Bodo/Glimt never failed to score.
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Lazio against Bodoe/Glimt Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Patric
MidfielderA. Ibrahimovic
Lazio & Bodoe/Glimt Squad Analysis
With just three goals scored in their last five matches, home fans will understandably be concerned about their team’s chances here. Their leading scorer is still Valentin Castellanos, whose last goal for the team came in February.
One has to trace further back for his most recent goal in Europe. The Argentine’s last goal in Europe was in January, against Real Sociedad. The silver lining, though, is that all three of his goals in the Europa League were scored at home.
His Spanish teammate Pedro has, however, stepped up in Europe and comes into this game with four goals and two assists.
Lazio will miss the injured Nuno Tavares in defence yet again.
Bodo/Glimt have an almost fully fit squad to choose from. Daniel Bassi, who missed the first leg match with injury, is back in training, though this game comes too soon.
Focusing on available players, Bodo/Glimt will hope Kasper Hogh rediscovers his scoring touch. The Dane is their leading scorer in Europe, with seven goals spread across five matches.
The striker, however, only managed to score once in the team’s away matches in this competition. There will be hopes also placed on Ulrik Saltnes, after his second-half brace to down Lazio in the first leg.
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Bodoe/Glimt
T. Castellanos
(14 Goals)
K. Hogh
(7 Goals)
N. Tavares
(9 Assists)
J. Hauge
(4 Assists)
,
P. Berg
(4 Assists)
Lazio - Bodoe/Glimt Key Points
- Bodo/Glimt haven't won any of their last four Europa League away outings.
- Lazio haven't tasted defeat in their last 13 home matches in the Europa League.
- In 12 away Europa League matches in their history, Bodo/Glimt won just once.
- In seven of Lazio’s last nine Europa League matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
- In 12 of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 Europa League matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
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Our Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt Prediction
Bodo/Glimt do not boast a very strong away run, especially in the Europa League. They come into this game without a win in the last four, having lost three of them. It isn’t just that; the Norwegians have played 12 away games in the competition and only managed to win once.
Meanwhile, their matches in the competition have mostly produced high scores. They meet a Lazio side that has a strong home run in this competition coupled with high-scoring matches. Our prediction for Lazio v Bodo/Glimt is for Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
In the last nine home matches in this competition, Lazio could only manage one clean sheet. It is also in the same game that they failed to score across those nine matches.
Bodo/Glimt have also maintained a strong scoring run away from home, even though defensively they are porous. In our second prediction for this match, we will back both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Bodoe/Glimt
| Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 1.4 | 1.44 | +2.9% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5 | +5.3% |
| Bodoe/Glimt wins | 7 | 6.25 | -10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bodoe/Glimt is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 14.3% and is now 16.0% (1.7%)
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Lazio vs Bodoe/Glimt match : Frequently asked questions
The Lazio v Bodo/Glimt match will be played on Thursday, 17th April.
The Lazio v Bodo/Glimt match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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