Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia
Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Lazio will entertain Atalanta this week as they switch their attention to the Coppa Italia after a frustrating league outing. This is the first of two semi-final legs, with Atalanta hosting the return game next month. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Lazio will be looking to make home advantage count as they continue their quest for a first Italian Cup success since the 2018/19 season. Maurizio Sarri’s men have made the semi-finals for a second time in the last three seasons.
However, if they are to progress, they will have to perform much better than they've done in recent weeks. Le Aquile have won just three times in their last 13 outings.
Currently on a three-game winless run, Lazio, who haven’t found the net in this run, lost 2-0 away to Torino over the weekend.
Atalanta also lost this past weekend, suffering a blow in their quest for European qualification. La Dea fell 2-1 at Sassuolo to see a two-match winning run come to an end. It was their second loss in four games.
Atalanta had lost once in six outings before this latest four-game stretch. Coppa finalists from two seasons ago, Raffaelle Palladino’s men haven’t lost to Lazio this season, nor have they conceded a goal.
They drew the first game at home 0-0 and then won 2-0 last time out in the Capital.
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Lazio v Atalanta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.05 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.09 | 3 | 2.53 |
|
|
3.09 | 3 | 2.53 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.85 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.94 | 2.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Atalanta match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Lazio and Atalanta in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.83% for a win of Lazio against Atalanta with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Atalanta is 33.25% with odds of 3.1 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Lazio with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
Lazio - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 38.92% | 2.55 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.55% | 2.05 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 17.46% | 6 at LSbet |
Lazio vs Atalanta Form
Lazio and Atalanta Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
19 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Lazio vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4 Feb 2024 - Serie A
8 Oct 2023 - Serie A
Lazio against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
A. Furlanetto
E. Motta
DefenderL. Pellegrini
O. Provstgaard
E. Hysaj
Patric
MidfielderM. Lazzari
A. Przyborek
R. Belahyane
Pedro
M. Cancellieri
B. Dia
P. Ratkov
T. Noslin
M. Sportiello
F. Rossi
DefenderR. Bellanova
M. Bakker
H. Ahanor
O. Kossounou
B. Djimsiti
MidfielderY. Musah
G. Scamacca
K. Sulemana
D. Vavassori
Missing players
S. Gigot
MidfielderN. Rovella
G. Raspadori
C. De Ketelaere
Lazio - Atalanta Key Points
- Lazio haven’t scored against Atalanta this season.
- Lazio have failed to score in three consecutive games.
- Atalanta have scored more than one goal once in their last six outings.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in the last four meetings between Lazio and Atalanta.
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Our Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction
Our prediction for Lazio v Atalanta is for less than 2.5 goals. This match has, in recent editions, turned into a low-scoring affair. Only once has a team scored multiple times in a game in the last four showdowns, and so far this term, Lazio haven’t found the net.
We feel strong about this trajectory continuing this week after seeing how both teams have fared recently. Goals have dried up for Lazio, who haven’t found the net in three consecutive games. Though Atalanta are a slightly better attacking side, this side of their game hasn’t replicated itself when on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Atalanta
| Lazio vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 2.85 | 3.25 | +14.0% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.1 | -1.6% |
| Atalanta wins | 2.49 | 2.55 | +2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.2% and is now 39.2% (-0.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
