La Vuelta - Stage 11 Predictions & Betting tips - La Vuelta

Prediction published on 02/09/2025, 14:17 by Matthew Newman | Modified on 03/09/2025 at 11:16

Seven short and sharp climbs await the riders on Stage 11 of La Vuelta on a route that starts and finishes in Bilbao. Our prediction for this stage needs to look at punchy riders who will be looking to attack.

This kind of terrain is reminiscent of a spring classic or monument race, so it would suit the likes of Tom Pidcock. The issue Pidcock has is that he is too close to the leaders to be allowed into a break, and the downhill run towards the line would favour those in a break.

Santiago Buitrago has been third in Liège-Bastogne-Liège and has been 5th and 6th in La Flèche Wallonne in the last two years. This kind of terrain will suit him well, and he's far enough down the overall standings to not cause a worry if he attacks.

One who has been quiet early on in this race is Maximilian Schachmann. He finished third overall in the Tour of the Basque Country back in April, so he knows stages with this type of climb well.

Although he is more a man for the higher mountains, Mikel Landa needs to be given serious consideration here. He hails from the Basque Country, so this is the closest stage of La Vuelta to his home. A very capable climber, he could be dangerous to all if he is feeling feisty.

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La Vuelta - Stage 11 - La Vuelta prediction key points

There are 157.4km ahead of the peloton on Stage 11 of La Vuelta.
The stage has seven categorised climbs, five of them Category 3 and a pair of ascents of the Alto del Vivero, a Category 2.
The terrain here is similar to a spring classic so strong form there would be a plus.
Santiago Buitrago has strong climbing skills and has a good record in the Liege-Bastogne-Liege and Fleche Wallonne, which are arguably the closest classics to this stage.

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Our La Vuelta - Stage 11 - La Vuelta prediction

This is an interesting stage as it is very similar to a classic from the spring. The climbs are going to be a good test as they are likely to be taken at a fair old speed. As always, it is a tough task to try to unpick the plans of every team and rider, but this does look like a stage that will favour those who get into a break.

Although he is not necessarily a breakaway artist, our La Vuelta Stage 11 prediction is Santiago Buitrago each way. He has strong spring form, and that could be a good form guide to this stage.

Prediction :

Santiago Buitrago each way

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