Japan - J.League
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
Second-place Kyoto Sanga welcome fifth-placed Machida Zelvia to the Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA for matchday 31 of the 2025 J1 League season. Sanga will be looking to keep pace with leaders Kashima while Zelvia challenge for a spot in the top three. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s been a phenomenal campaign for Kyoto who went from a 14th-place finish last season to a title challenge this year.
However, they’ve stumbled a bit in recent outings. After reeling off four straight wins, they drew 1-1 away to Hiroshima before being upset in a 1-0 home loss to 11th-place Shimizu on Saturday.
The slip up has seen Kyoto concede the top spot in the standings to Kashima Antlers, who they now trail by three points with eight matches remaining.
It’s been a similar story for Machida, who had previously won eight straight J1 League matches before going winless in their last three (D2, L1). This has seen them fall four points behind the top three, which comes with AFC Champions League Elite qualification.
They are participating in the 2025-26 edition of that competition and kicked off the league phase with a 1-1 home draw with FC Seoul in their most recent appearance. The visitors are now on a run of just one win in their last five, three of which have ended in draws.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Kyoto Sanga v Machida Zelvia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.4 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.3 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kyoto Sanga and Machida Zelvia?
Our prediction for the Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/09/2025 between Kyoto Sanga and Machida Zelvia in J.League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.22% for a win of Kyoto Sanga against Machida Zelvia with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia is 25.95% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga with odds of 2.15 at William Hill.
Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kyoto Sanga Machida Zelvia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia wins | 37.83% | 2.15 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.87% | 2.23 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 48.96% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Machida Zelvia | 19.18% | 5 at Bet365 |
Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia Form
Kyoto Sanga and Machida Zelvia's standings in the J.League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
|
7
|
57 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
Kyoto Sanga and Machida Zelvia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - J.League
12 Sept 2025 - J.League
30 Aug 2025 - J.League
24 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - J.League
30 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
5 Jul 2025 - J.League
28 Jun 2025 - J.League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2025 - J.League
24 Aug 2025 - J.League
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
6 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
21 Jul 2025 - J.League
21 Jun 2025 - J.League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2025 - AFC Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - J.League
31 Aug 2025 - J.League
27 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
23 Aug 2025 - J.League
20 Aug 2025 - J.League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2025 - AFC Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - J.League
27 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
20 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - J.League
23 Aug 2025 - J.League
20 Jul 2025 - J.League
29 Jun 2025 - J.League
14 Jun 2025 - J.League
25 May 2025 - J.League
Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
7 May 2025 - J.League
30 Nov 2024 - J.League
6 May 2024 - J.League
Kyoto Sanga against Machida Zelvia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia
R. Elias
(17 Goals)
Y. Soma
(9 Goals)
T. Hara
(9 Assists)
Y. Soma
(7 Assists)
Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia Key Points
- Machida have conceded the fewest expected goals in the J1 League (27.1).
- Kyoto have allowed just two goals in their five games.
- Two of the last three meetings between these sides have resulted in under 2.5 goals.
- Machida have kept six clean sheets in 15 away matches, the fourth highest mark in the league.
- The visitors have kept six clean sheets in their last nine league matches.
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Our Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia Prediction
Kyoto will be desperate to get back to winning ways but they’ll have to deal with a short turnaround time, last taking to the field three days ago while Machida have had a full seven days to prepare.
That could result in some tired legs for the hosts, which ultimately could impact their attacking output. Machida can be a tough side to break down on their day and their underlying numbers have them as one of the best defensive teams in the division. Our Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia prediction: under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kyoto Sanga Machida Zelvia
| Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga wins | 3.2 | 3.7 | +15.6% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.4 | +3.0% |
| Machida Zelvia wins | 2.2 | 2.01 | -8.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Machida Zelvia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 49.8% (4.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
