Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bundesliga matchday 18 will feature an intriguing battle on Saturday, with the relegation-threatened Koln and Mainz looking to move up the table. This match in Cologne between the 12th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ and the 16th-placed 05ers comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Koln’s 17 points from 17 matches (W4, D5, L8) see them start this round five points above the relegation zone. Mainz’s 12 points (W2, D6, L9) put them two points outside the safety zone, although level on points with the two teams below them.
A 3-1 away loss at Bayern Munich in the midweek continued Koln’s poor recent run. That marked an eighth consecutive winless match (D3, L5), keeping them only marginally above the relegation zone.
Recent form at this venue hasn’t been encouraging either, as Koln were beaten in three of their last four home Bundesliga matches, drawing the other.
Mainz won 2-1 at home against Heidenheim in the week to extend their unbeaten run to four matches (W1, D3). This sequence has improved the morale of the club that they can still get out of the relegation zone.
The challenge is to improve their recent away record, as the 05ers are winless across their last six league trips (D2, L4), although they drew the latest two away games by an identical 2-2 score.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Köln v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.55 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.48 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.6 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Köln and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Köln and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.97% for a win of Köln against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.18 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 36.38% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.64% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Köln with odds of 3.58 at 888Starz.
Köln - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Köln 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.38% | 3.62 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.6% | 1.85 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.38% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Köln and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
20 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -3 |
|
17
|
12 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -13 |
Köln and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
Köln against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
R. Zieler
DefenderK. Lund
R. Van den Berg
MidfielderT. Krauss
J. Thielmann
F. Kainz
ForwardR. Ache
F. Schenten
L. Waldschmidt
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
MidfielderL. Maloney
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
ForwardA. Sieb
F. Moreno Fell
B. Bobzien
A. Nordin
Missing players
D. Heintz
T. Hubers
L. Kilian
J. Schmied
R. Zentner
DefenderP. Mwene
A. Hanche-Olsen
A. Caci
MidfielderN. Veratschnig
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
N. Weiper
Most goals and assists
Köln
1 Fsv Mainz 05
S. El Mala
(7 Goals)
N. Amiri
(5 Goals)
M. Bulter
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Castro-Montes
(3 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Jae-sung
(2 Assists)
Köln - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Mainz averaged 1.00 goals per game in their 17 Bundesliga games this season.
- Mainz failed to score in four of their last eight league games.
- Four of Koln’s last six league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Koln conceded exactly once in three of their last five home league games.
- The last four league games between these sides saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz and Koln are not far off in the Bundesliga table, with just five points being the difference between the sides. Mainz are still in the relegation zone, although with just two points the difference, there’s still hope of moving out of the danger zone. Koln have lost three of their four recent games at home but have been at least scoring goals consistently.
Recent form suggests goals in this encounter, but history points to a low-scoring game, so our Koln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Köln 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Köln vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln wins | 2.14 | 2.18 | +1.9% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.62 | -3.2% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 3.58 | 3.58 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 27.6% (0.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Köln vs. 1 Fsv Mainz 05 game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
