Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Cup
Scotland - Scottish Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Kilmarnock plays host to Dundee FC at Rugby Park in the fourth round of the Scottish FA Cup. Both sides have met four times in this competition, and Kilmarnock holds the upper hand with three wins. Here's our match prediction.
Kilmarnock have performed poorly in the 2025-26 Scottish Premiership season. The home team are second to last in the standings and have won just two of their last 22 games.
Killie's last win was on October 4th last year. Since then, they've gone 15 matches without a win, suffering 11 defeats in the process. A contributing factor to their struggles during this run has been their porous defense, which has conceded an alarming 31 goals.
The Scottish FA Cup offers a welcome respite. After consecutive quarter-final appearances between 2023 and 2024, they were unlucky in the previous edition, suffering elimination in the fourth round at the hands of Celtic FC.
Dundee FC have won three of their last four matches heading into this clash. A 1-0 league defeat against table-toppers Hearts ended a three-match winning streak.
Their performance on the road has been unconvincing. In unfamiliar territory, they've won just one of their last 11 outings.
The Dee now shift their focus to the Scottish FA Cup. It hasn't been a great display, especially in the fourth round, where they've been eliminated at this stage in two of their last three editions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Kilmarnock v Dundee FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.36 | 3.36 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.3 | 3.35 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.46 | 3.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kilmarnock and Dundee FC?
Our prediction for the Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC match is: Kilmarnock wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Kilmarnock and Dundee FC in Scottish Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.43% for a win of Kilmarnock against Dundee FC with odds of 2.1 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC is 22.59% with odds of 3.7 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock with odds of 3.9 at Shangrila.
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Form
Kilmarnock and Dundee FC Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
3 Nov 2024 - Scottish Premiership
5 Oct 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
O. Oluwayemi
DefenderL. Mayo
D. Thompson
R. Deas
M. Schjonning-Larsen
E. Brown
MidfielderJ. Thomson
B. Lyons
ForwardB. Anderson
S. Tiffoney
T. John-Jules
J. McCracken
DefenderR. Astley
L. Graham
C. Congreve
B. Koumetio
MidfielderC. Jones
E. Hamilton
D. Wright
F. Robertson
ForwardA. Hay
T. Yogane
Substitutes
E. Beach
DefenderK. Leslie
B. Brannan
Z. Williams
G. Stanger
MidfielderR. McKenzie
M. Dackers
L. Polworth
C. Coughlin
K. O'Hara
DefenderC. Robertson
E. Ingram
I. Samuels
MidfielderP. Digby
C. Reilly
ForwardS. Murray
J. Bevan
E. Acquah
Kilmarnock - Dundee FC Key Points
- Kilmarnock are unbeaten in their last five matches against Dundee FC.
- Dundee FC have failed to win their last four matches against Kilmarnock in the Scottish FA Cup.
- Kilmarnock emerged victorious in three of those encounters.
- Dundee FC have lost seven of their last 11 away games.
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Our Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Prediction
Indeed, Kilmarnock are going through a rough patch at the moment, but this matchup could see them turn things around. They are unbeaten in their last four encounters against this opponent, recording three wins in the process. Their last match ended in a 2-0 home victory in the fourth round.
A similar outcome can be expected in this impending encounter against a Dundee FC side whose away form has been erratic. To add salt to injury, the Dee's have gone five away matches without a win against this opponent, suffering two defeats. Our Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC prediction: Kilmarnock wins.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Kilmarnock vs. Dundee FC game!
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Try your luck on this year's Scottish Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
