Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Prediction - Champions League

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Europe - Champions League

Qarabag FK

27/08/2025 12:45

Ferencvarosi Budapest

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Prediction published on 25/08/2025, 12:45 by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions

Qarabag and Ferencvaros will resume their Champions League Playoff round clash in the second leg on Wednesday at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. The winner of this tie between Atilar and Fradi will enter the main draw of this competition, while the loser will be transferred to the Europa League. Check out our match prediction below!

History has repeated itself so far in this fixture - when these sides met in UCL qualifying (round three) back in the 2022-23 campaign, Qarabag clinched a 3-1 victory in Budapest. Indeed, the Azerbaijan outfit repeated that feat in the first leg of this tie last week and are now 90 minutes away from returning to Europe’s top-tier cup competition for the first time since 2017-18.

Unless FTC can find a way to turn this two-goal deficit around, they will fail to qualify for the Champions League for a fourth consecutive season. Can they pull it back? Let’s jump into the key stats and try to figure it out!

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The Best Betting Odds for Qarabag FK v Ferencvarosi Budapest Match

1	X	2
2.25	3.4	3.1
2.2	3.5	2.75
2.25	3.3	2.9
2.2	3.4	3
2.12	3.55	3.15

Check all Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Qarabag FK and Ferencvarosi Budapest?

Our prediction for the Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2025 between Qarabag FK and Ferencvarosi Budapest in Champions League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.6% for a win of Qarabag FK against Ferencvarosi Budapest with odds of 2.32 at Tonybet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest is 18.52% with odds of 3.6 at 888Starz.
Our prediction model gives a 37.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK with odds of 3.15 at Unibet.

Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Form

Qarabag FK and Ferencvarosi Budapest Last Matches

Qarabag FK Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W W L

Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK

0 : 1

Sumgayit

19 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 3

Qarabag FK

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK

5 : 1

Shkendija

5 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Shkendija

0 : 1

Qarabag FK

30 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK

1 : 0

Shelbourne Dublin

23 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Shelbourne Dublin

0 : 3

Qarabag FK

W L W W W L

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.83 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK

0 : 1

Sumgayit

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK

5 : 1

Shkendija

30 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK

1 : 0

Shelbourne Dublin

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Qarabag FK

3 : 2

Twente

7 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Qarabag FK

4 : 5

FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Qarabag FK

4 : 0

Zira FK

D W L W W W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 3

Qarabag FK

5 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Shkendija

0 : 1

Qarabag FK

23 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Shelbourne Dublin

0 : 3

Qarabag FK

15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Salzburg

2 : 1

Qarabag FK

24 May 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Inter

0 : 1

Qarabag FK

27 Apr 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK

1 : 1

Qarabag FK

Ferencvarosi Budapest Last matches

All Home Away

W D W W L L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 3

Qarabag FK

16 Aug 2025 - NB I

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 2

Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

3 : 0

Ludogorets

9 Aug 2025 - NB I

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

1 : 4

Ferencvarosi Budapest

6 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ludogorets

0 : 0

Ferencvarosi Budapest

2 Aug 2025 - NB I

Ferencvarosi Budapest

3 : 0

Kazincbarcikai SC

W W W W L L

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 3

Qarabag FK

16 Aug 2025 - NB I

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 2

Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

3 : 0

Ludogorets

2 Aug 2025 - NB I

Ferencvarosi Budapest

3 : 0

Kazincbarcikai SC

30 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

4 : 3

FC Noah

15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest

2 : 1

Karlsruher

W W W D D W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

83% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - NB I

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

1 : 4

Ferencvarosi Budapest

6 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ludogorets

0 : 0

Ferencvarosi Budapest

26 Jul 2025 - NB I

MTK Budapest

1 : 1

Ferencvarosi Budapest

22 Jul 2025 - Champions League

FC Noah

1 : 2

Ferencvarosi Budapest

24 May 2025 - NB I

Gyori ETO

1 : 2

Ferencvarosi Budapest

10 May 2025 - NB I

Paksi FC

2 : 3

Ferencvarosi Budapest

Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Qarabag FK

67 %

Draw

33 %

Ferencvarosi Budapest

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33

Total goals

100%

BTTS

2.33

Goals scored (home team)

Goals scored (away team)

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

19 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 3

Qarabag FK

9 Aug 2022 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest

1 : 3

Qarabag FK

3 Aug 2022 - Champions League

Qarabag FK

1 : 1

Ferencvarosi Budapest

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Qarabag FK - Ferencvarosi Budapest: Form Analysis

Qarabag have been sensational in this season’s UEFA Champions League qualifiers, having come through the last two rounds against Shelbourne (4-0) and Shkendija (6-1) with relative ease.

The Horsemen went down a goal inside the first half-hour in Budapest last week, but they produced a stunning display after the break, scoring three goals without response in 35 second-half minutes.

The hosts lost their league fixture 1-0 at home to Sumqayit on Friday night. However, it is worth noting that Quran Qurbanov did not start a single player who featured in Budapest in that league defeat.

Qarabag is the highest-scoring team in the Champions League qualifiers this season (13)!

Meanwhile, Ferencvaros got past Noah (6-4) and Ludogorets (3-0) in their preceding UCL qualifying rounds. Last week’s defeat at home was the first loss they conceded in this competition this season.

Despite having the home advantage in the first leg, Fradi were outdone in most statistical categories, including possession (44%), total passes (335 to 437) and pass accuracy (73% to 81%).

This week's visitors are unbeaten in away games across all competitions since mid-February. However, they lost and failed to score a single goal in their last three Europa League matches on the road last season.

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Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest last Lineups

Qarabag FK

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

M. Kochalski

M. Silva

B. Mustafazada

K. Medina

E. Cafarquliyev

P. Bicalho

M. Jankovic

L. Andrade

Kady

A. Zoubir

N. Akhundzade

B. Varga

L. Joseph

C. O'Dowda

G. Kanichowsky

B. Otvos

A. Toth

C. Makreckis

G. Szalai

T. Raemaekers

S. Gartenmann

D. Dibusz

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Ferencvarosi Budapest

Qarabag FK & Ferencvarosi Budapest Squad Analysis

Marko Jankovic, Kevin Medina and Musa Qurbanly were the three players who got their names on the scoresheet last week. Kady Borges picked up an assist for the Jankovic goal, and the pair have now made direct goal contributions in back-to-back games in this competition.

Barring young backup shot-stopper Amin Ramazanov, Qurbanov has a fully fit squad at his disposal. As mentioned, the Qarabag boss left nothing to chance by rotating his entire squad over the weekend.

Can Barnabas Varga pull his side back into this contest?

The Hungary international is the second-highest scorer in UCL qualifying this season with five goals in five games, while he also has two goals and an assist in four league matches. He netted seven in last season’s Europa League.

Robbie Keane withdrew Bence Otvos at the break in the first leg, which could suggest that Kristoffer Zachariassen or former Liverpool midfielder Naby Keita could get the nod to start this match.

Other competition stats leaders in this match include Kevin Medina (most balls recovered; third for tackles made) and Cebrails Makreckis (joint-most assists).

Most goals and assists

Qarabag FK

Ferencvarosi Budapest

Top Goalscorer

Z. Gruber (3 Goals)

Qarabag FK - Ferencvarosi Budapest Key Points

Qarabag is the highest-scoring team in this season’s UCL qualifiers.
Qarabag have conceded in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
Ferencvaros are averaging two goals per game in this competition.
Ferencvaros have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight competitive away games.
Ferencvaros have only failed to score in one of their last 14 away matches across all competitions.

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Our Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Prediction

Qarabag are well deserving of their two-goal cushion based on their effort in Budapest last week, and their performances throughout these qualifiers to this point have been worthy of entry to Europe’s premier cup competition.

However, Ferencvaros have not thrown in the towel just yet, and they won’t until the final whistle blows. Even if they are unable to overturn this deficit, we feel they will get themselves on the scoresheet. Our Qarabag FK vs Ferencvaros prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5

Odds 1.85

Qarabag is the highest-scoring team in this season’s UCL qualifiers with 13 goals (averaging 2.6 per 90). Four of Ferencvaros’ five games in this competition have ended with over 2.5 goals.

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