Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Qarabag and Ferencvaros will resume their Champions League Playoff round clash in the second leg on Wednesday at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. The winner of this tie between Atilar and Fradi will enter the main draw of this competition, while the loser will be transferred to the Europa League. Check out our match prediction below!
History has repeated itself so far in this fixture - when these sides met in UCL qualifying (round three) back in the 2022-23 campaign, Qarabag clinched a 3-1 victory in Budapest. Indeed, the Azerbaijan outfit repeated that feat in the first leg of this tie last week and are now 90 minutes away from returning to Europe’s top-tier cup competition for the first time since 2017-18.
Unless FTC can find a way to turn this two-goal deficit around, they will fail to qualify for the Champions League for a fourth consecutive season. Can they pull it back? Let’s jump into the key stats and try to figure it out!
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Qarabag FK v Ferencvarosi Budapest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.19 | 3.65 | 3 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.75 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.62 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.68 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.7 | 3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Qarabag FK and Ferencvarosi Budapest?
Our prediction for the Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2025 between Qarabag FK and Ferencvarosi Budapest in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.85% for a win of Qarabag FK against Ferencvarosi Budapest with odds of 2.25 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest is 18.44% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
Qarabag FK - Ferencvarosi Budapest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Qarabag FK Ferencvarosi Budapest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Qarabag FK wins | 43.85% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.24% | 1.77 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Qarabag FK/Qarabag FK | 14.71% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Form
Qarabag FK and Ferencvarosi Budapest Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Topaz Premier League
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
23 Jul 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Topaz Premier League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Topaz Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Topaz Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - NB I
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
9 Aug 2025 - NB I
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - NB I
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - NB I
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - NB I
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - NB I
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - NB I
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
24 May 2025 - NB I
10 May 2025 - NB I
Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
9 Aug 2022 - Champions League
3 Aug 2022 - Champions League
Qarabag FK - Ferencvarosi Budapest: Form Analysis
Qarabag have been sensational in this season’s UEFA Champions League qualifiers, having come through the last two rounds against Shelbourne (4-0) and Shkendija (6-1) with relative ease.
The Horsemen went down a goal inside the first half-hour in Budapest last week, but they produced a stunning display after the break, scoring three goals without response in 35 second-half minutes.
The hosts lost their league fixture 1-0 at home to Sumqayit on Friday night. However, it is worth noting that Quran Qurbanov did not start a single player who featured in Budapest in that league defeat.
Qarabag is the highest-scoring team in the Champions League qualifiers this season (13)!
Meanwhile, Ferencvaros got past Noah (6-4) and Ludogorets (3-0) in their preceding UCL qualifying rounds. Last week’s defeat at home was the first loss they conceded in this competition this season.
Despite having the home advantage in the first leg, Fradi were outdone in most statistical categories, including possession (44%), total passes (335 to 437) and pass accuracy (73% to 81%).
This week's visitors are unbeaten in away games across all competitions since mid-February. However, they lost and failed to score a single goal in their last three Europa League matches on the road last season.
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Qarabag FK against Ferencvarosi Budapest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Buntic
S. Magomedaliyev
DefenderS. Mmaee
Daniel
A. Huseynov
B. Huseynov
T. Bayramov
O. Kashchuk
C. Kouakou
H. Jabrayilzade
ForwardM. Qurbanly
E. Addai
D. Grof
DefenderG. Szalai
B. Nagy
E. Botka
S. Gartenmann
MidfielderC. Lopes Cruz
K. Zachariassen
A. Madarasz
A. Toth
D. Arzani
Z. Gruber
A. Pesic
Qarabag FK & Ferencvarosi Budapest Squad Analysis
Marko Jankovic, Kevin Medina and Musa Qurbanly were the three players who got their names on the scoresheet last week. Kady Borges picked up an assist for the Jankovic goal, and the pair have now made direct goal contributions in back-to-back games in this competition.
Barring young backup shot-stopper Amin Ramazanov, Qurbanov has a fully fit squad at his disposal. As mentioned, the Qarabag boss left nothing to chance by rotating his entire squad over the weekend.
Can Barnabas Varga pull his side back into this contest?
The Hungary international is the second-highest scorer in UCL qualifying this season with five goals in five games, while he also has two goals and an assist in four league matches. He netted seven in last season’s Europa League.
Robbie Keane withdrew Bence Otvos at the break in the first leg, which could suggest that Kristoffer Zachariassen or former Liverpool midfielder Naby Keita could get the nod to start this match.
Other competition stats leaders in this match include Kevin Medina (most balls recovered; third for tackles made) and Cebrails Makreckis (joint-most assists).
Qarabag FK - Ferencvarosi Budapest Key Points
- Qarabag is the highest-scoring team in this season’s UCL qualifiers.
- Qarabag have conceded in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
- Ferencvaros are averaging two goals per game in this competition.
- Ferencvaros have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight competitive away games.
- Ferencvaros have only failed to score in one of their last 14 away matches across all competitions.
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Our Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Prediction
Qarabag are well deserving of their two-goal cushion based on their effort in Budapest last week, and their performances throughout these qualifiers to this point have been worthy of entry to Europe’s premier cup competition.
However, Ferencvaros have not thrown in the towel just yet, and they won’t until the final whistle blows. Even if they are unable to overturn this deficit, we feel they will get themselves on the scoresheet. Our Qarabag FK vs Ferencvaros prediction is both teams to score.
Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5
Qarabag is the highest-scoring team in this season’s UCL qualifiers with 13 goals (averaging 2.6 per 90). Four of Ferencvaros’ five games in this competition have ended with over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Qarabag FK Ferencvarosi Budapest
| Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag FK wins | 2.2 | 2.25 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.9 | +11.4% |
| Ferencvarosi Budapest wins | 3.2 | 3.35 | +4.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Qarabag FK is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 44.4% (-1.0%)
Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest - FAQs
The Champions League match between Qarabag and Ferencvaros will take place on August 27 at 16:45 GMT.
The Champions League match between Qarabag and Ferencvaros will be played at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku.
The Champions League match between Qarabag and Ferencvaros will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
