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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Both of these players are in their first Italian Open semi-final. That's particularly important for sixth seed Jasmine Paolini who is playing in her home tournament. The last four sees her take on unseeded Peyton Stearns. Here's our match prediction.
Before this year's outdoor clay court tournament in Rome, the Italian had failed to get past the second round. This year the world number five has reached her second clay court semi-final of the year, the other being in Stuttgart.
Four matches have had to be won to reach this latest semi-final. Three were won in straight sets before a tough quarter-final saw her come from a set down to beat 12th-seeded Diana Shnaider.
It's been a great week for unseeded Peyton Stearns. This run to the last four in Rome has taken her up to a career-high 26th in the live rankings. It continues the good form that the 23-year-old showed in Madrid earlier this month, getting to the fourth round.
The American has had to play over ten hours to get to this semi-final. Her last three matches have all gone to a final set with victories achieved over Madison Keys, Naomi Osaka and on Tuesday, Elina Svitolina.
We tip over 19.5 games to be played in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jasmine Paolini v Peyton Stearns Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.45 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.7 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.45 | 2.77 |
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Who will win the Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns match is: over 19.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns game on 15/05/2025 of the current WTA Rome season:
- Jasmine Paolini has a 57.61% chance to win against Peyton Stearns according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.46.
- Peyton Stearns has a 42.39% probability of winning facing Jasmine Paolini ⭐ with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jasmine Paolini has a 57.61 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jasmine Paolini | 57.61 % |
Peyton Stearns | 42.39 % |
Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Form
Jasmine Paolini and Peyton Stearns Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 May 2025 - WTA Rome
12 May 2025 - WTA Rome
10 May 2025 - WTA Rome
8 May 2025 - WTA Rome
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 May 2025 - WTA Rome
12 May 2025 - WTA Rome
10 May 2025 - WTA Rome
8 May 2025 - WTA Rome
6 May 2025 - WTA Rome
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Jasmine Paolini - Peyton Stearns Key Points
- The last three matches played by Stearns have all had over 19.5 games played in them.
- Over 19.5 games have been played in the last two matches Paolini has played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Paolini has played a couple in her last two matches.
- Each of the last three matches that Stearns has played have seen a tie-break played.
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Our Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Prediction
A tight match looks likely in this Italian Open semi-final. Jasmine Paolini has finally had a deep run in the Italian Open but had to go to come from behind to defeat Diana Shnaider in her quarter-final.
It's been even tougher for unseeded Peyton Stearns. The American has played three successive matches that have gone to a final set,. A side bet on a tie-break being played in this match could be a winner. Our main Jasmine Paolini v Peyton Stearns prediiction is over 19.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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