Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Two unseeded players face each other in round one of the Nordea Open clay court tournament. Jan Choinski takes on Nikoloz Basilashvili in their first ever match. Choinski recently won a Challenger Tour title on this surface and our prediction is he will win against a struggling Basilashvili.
The winner will be up against either seventh seed Thiago Agustin Tirante or unseeded Sebastiian Ofner in round two.
Jan Choinski is a career-high 75th in the latest rankings, 60 places above his opponent. After an early exit at Wimbledon, he returned to clay and won the Braunschweig Challenger Tour event beating Hugo Gaston in the final. That was his second Challenger Tour title of 2026.
He is yet to make it past round one of an ATP Tour clay court tournament this year but this looks a good opportunity.
Nikoloz Basilashvili has been as high as 16th in the rankings but has struggled recently. He has a 10-9 record on clay this year, compared to 19-11 for his opponent. Basilashvili has failed to qualify for the main draw in 11 tournaments this year, three on clay.
He has lost his last four matches on all surfaces and the same stat applies to matches on clay.
He will hope to regain the form that saw him reach round four in Rome this year.
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Jan Choinski v Nikoloz Basilashvili Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.56 | 2.33 |
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1.59 | 2.36 |
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1.59 | 2.36 |
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1.59 | 2.36 |
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1.59 | 2.36 |
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Who will win the Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili match is: Jan Choinski wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili game on 14/07/2026 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:
- Jan Choinski has a 65.26% chance to win against Nikoloz Basilashvili according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.59.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 34.74% probability of winning facing Jan Choinski ⭐ with odds of 2.42 at Shangrila.
Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jan Choinski has a 65.26 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jan Choinski | 65.26 % |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34.74 % |
Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Form
Jan Choinski and Nikoloz Basilashvili Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
2 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
24 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
22 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
21 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
15 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
14 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
13 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
6 Jun 2026 - ATP Stuttgart Open
18 May 2026 - ATP French Open
Jan Choinski - Nikoloz Basilashvili Key Points
- Choinski is 60 places above his opponent in the latest rankings.
- Choiinski won the recent Brunschweig Challenger Tour title, his second of the year.
- Basilashvili has failed to qualify for 11 ATP tournaments this year.
- Basilashvili has lost his last four clay court matches.
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Our Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction
Jan Choinski comes into this ATP tournament fresh from winning a clay court Challenger Tour title. That was his second title of the year and he has won 19 of his 30 matches played on clay this year. This is his debut in the Nordea Open.
Which Nikoloz Basilashvili will show up for this match? He's previously been high in the rankings and reached round four in Rome this year. However, he has had a string of qualifying losses and has lost his last four clay court matches. Our Jan Choinski v Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction is Jan Choinski wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.