Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna

ATP - ATP Vienna

Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur
01/11/2026 04:00
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Alex de Minaur is yet to lose an indoor hard court match this year. To retain that record, the fifth seed must beat second seeded Carlos Alcaraz for the first time. The pair meet in the final of the Erste Bank Open in Vienna. In three-set matches, four of their five previous meetings have had at least 21 games. Our prediction here is more than 20.5 games.

Six previous matches between de Minaur and Alcaraz have all been won by the Spaniard. Two of those matches were played on this surface with one going to a deciding set. 

De Minaur has won one indoor hard court title this year, doing so in Rotterdam. He caused a shock on Saturday when defeating top seed Alexander Zverev. That meant he's won all ten of his indoor hard court matches this year. More than 20.5 games were played in six of them.

Carlos Alcaraz has won three titles this year, all on outdoor hard courts. His most recent title came in Tokyo at the start of October.

The Spaniard has reached this final without dropping a set. More than 20.5 games were played in three of them, all ending 6-4 7-6. He's played a tie-break in all four of his matches this week (all the second set) and in six of his last seven played.

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Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Alex de Minaur - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. More than 20.5 games were played in four of the five previous best-of-three sets matches played between these two players.
  2. Three of the four matches Alcaraz has played this week saw more than 20.5 games played.
  3. A tie-break would be good news for our prediction. Alcaraz has played one in each of his four matches in this tournament.
  4. De Minaur has played at least 21 games in three of his four matches this week, two going to a deciding set.
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Our Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Alex de Minaur has won all ten of his indoor hard court matches played this year. To keep that record and win a second title on this surface in 2026, the Australian must record a first ever victory over Carlos Alcaraz. He's lost six in a row to the Spaniard, seventh time lucky?

Both of the matches they've played on this surface saw more than 20.5 games played. Alcaraz is yet to lose a set in Vienna, but each of his matches has included a tie-break. Our Alex de Minaur v Carlos Alcaraz prediction is more than 20.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.