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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz has the chance to avenge his loss to Jack Draper at the Indian Wells Masters. The two will clash in the first quarter-final at the Rome Masters, this match marking their sixth meeting. The winner here faces either Lorenzo Musetti or Alexander Zverev, and below is our prediction.
Both players dropped a set in their latest outings. Jack Draper, for the first time in Rome, lost a set; that happened in his match against Corentin Moutet. That was his eighth win in the last 10 matches.
The British No. 1 will be keen to equalize their head-to-head standings. From the five meetings with Alcaraz, Draper suffered three defeats.
Alcaraz will be looking to extend his record against Draper. While the two have faced off five times, none of the matches was on clay. This meeting on clay should, therefore, favor Alcaraz.
With a 27-5 record, the Spaniard will not be too concerned about facing a tough opponent. On clay this season, Alcaraz has lost just one of his 13 matches on clay this season – at the Barcelona Open final.
He has since put up a powerful run in Rome after missing the Madrid Masters for recovery. In the fourth round here, Alcaraz had to sweat through a three-set win over Karen Khachanov.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jack Draper v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.2 | 1.36 |
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3 | 1.38 |
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3.1 | 1.33 |
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3.1 | 1.36 |
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3 | 1.34 |
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 14/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Jack Draper has a 48.8% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.2.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 51.2% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 1.4 at William Hill.
Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 48.8 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jack Draper | 48.8 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 51.2 % |
Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Jack Draper and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
4 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
2 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
20 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
19 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships
14 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Draper lost twice in his 11 clay court matches.
- Alcaraz has a 12-1 record on clay this season.
- Alcaraz has beaten Draper three times in five meetings.
- Both Alcaraz and Draper lost a set in their last outings.
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Our Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
After ending his run in the second round on his debut here in 2024, Draper will not be the only one gracing the Rome quarters. Alcaraz is the other. These two dropped sets for the first time in the last round and, by their profiles, are going to serve an entertaining matchup here.
It feels like Alcaraz has a slight advantage over his opponent. He leads in the head-to-head numbers and has a better record on clay. Our prediction for Jack Draper v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jack Draper vs. Carlos Alcaraz game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jack Draper and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jack Draper or Carlos Alcaraz , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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