Italy vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
World - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Basketball Predictions
Italy have won each of their last three meetings with Serbia, as well as five of their seven FIBA World Cup 2027 Qualifiers. They welcome the Eagles, who have lost two of their last three away outings, to Vitrifrigo Arena in their next fixture in the competition. Our prediction favours the home team.
Italy suffered a setback in their Second Round opener on Friday, losing 78–76 to Bosnia and Herzegovina. However, a prior five-game winning streak had positioned them firmly in the qualification race heading into this Second Round.
Gli Azzurri are second in the Group J standings with 12 points – two behind Turkey at the top and with a 21-point advantage over third-placed Serbia in points difference. They have won their last four home games, including back-to-back successes in their last two FIBA World Cup 2027 Qualifiers fixtures at home. Additionally, both of their losses in the competition have come by no more than five points.
Serbia recorded their fifth win in seven FIBA World Cup 2027 Qualifiers outings after easing past Iceland 102–73 in their Second Round opener. However, the Eagles are unconvincing on the road, having lost two of their last three away games, and overcoming their poor recent record against Italy may prove difficult.
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Italy v Serbia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.97 | 1.37 |
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2.97 | 1.37 |
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2.57 | 1.41 |
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3 | 1.37 |
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3 | 1.37 |
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Who will win the Italy vs Serbia Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Italy vs Serbia match is: Italy +6.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Serbia game on 31/08/2026 of the current FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A season:
- Italy has a 50.42% chance to pick up the win against Serbia according to Roobet ⭐ with the odds of 3.
- There is a probability of 49.58% ⭐ for Serbia to win vs Italy with odds of 1.41 at Bet365.
Italy vs Serbia Form
Italy and Serbia's standings in the FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |
|
3
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Italy and Serbia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
22 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
5 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
2 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games
24 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
5 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
24 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games
2 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Nov 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
7 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
2 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games
27 Feb 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
30 Nov 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
20 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
6 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
2 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
2 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Aug 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
20 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
6 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Feb 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
27 Nov 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
6 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games
2 Jul 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
2 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
30 Nov 2025 - FIBA World Cup, European Pre-Qualifiers, Group A
3 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
Italy vs Serbia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
1 Sept 2023 - Basketball World Cup
11 Sept 2022 - EuroBasket
4 Sept 2019 - Basketball World Cup
Italy - Serbia Key Points
- Italy have won five of their seven games in the FIBA World Cup 2027 Qualifiers.
- Italy have won their last four home games, including victories in their last two FIBA World Cup 2027 Qualifiers fixtures.
- Both of Italy's losses in the FIBA World Cup 2027 Qualifiers have come by no more than five points.
- Serbia have lost two of their last three away games.
- Serbia have lost each of their last three meetings with Italy.
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Our Italy vs Serbia Prediction
After Friday's setback snapped their impressive five-game winning streak, Italy will go all out to bounce back and get their qualification campaign back on track. They enter this contest on four-game winning streak at home and have kept both of their losses in the competition within very tight margins.
Serbia have also enjoyed a strong run in the competition, but they have been inconsistent on the road recently and have struggled for results in their last three meetings with Italy. Our Italy vs Serbia prediction: Italy +6.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
