World - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
Italy will play host to Moldova in a crucial World Cup qualifier at Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolore on Monday night. Gli Azzurri are fourth in the Group I standings, while the Tricolours are fifth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Italy have qualified for every World Cup campaign since 1958, but they made a terrible start to this qualifying campaign, losing 3-0 to Norway on Friday night.
That result marked the Blues’ fourth match without victory across all competitions. Luciano Spalletti conceded that tired legs and minds contributed to his team’s defeat on Friday and promised changes for this match.
The hosts lost their last two home games, but those were against Germany and France. They were unbeaten in nine games before that, seven of which ended in victory.
Meanwhile, Moldova have never qualified for the World Cup since leaving the Soviet Union and already have a mountain to climb in Group I after just two games.
The Tricolours are on a three-match losing streak, which included a 5-0 loss to Norway and a 3-2 defeat against Estonia in this competition in March. They then lost 2-0 to Poland in a friendly on Friday night.
The visitors have only managed two wins in their last 10 away games and failed to score in four of their last six on the road across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Moldova Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.07 | 11 | 23 |
|
|
1.07 | 11 | 34 |
|
|
1.08 | 11 | 36 |
|
|
1.07 | 9 | 21 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 36 |
|
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Italy vs Moldova Form
Italy and Moldova's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
|
5
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 |
Italy and Moldova Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
Italy vs Moldova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
Missing players
A. Buongiorno
Most goals and assists
Italy
Moldova
I. Nicolaescu
(1 Goals)
,
M. Caimacov
(1 Goals)
Italy - Moldova Key Points
- Italy have won eight of their last 11 home games.
- Italy have won all five of their previous matches against this opponent.
- Italy have kept clean sheets in three of their last four games against this opponent.
- Moldova have only won one of their last eight away matches.
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Our Italy vs Moldova Prediction
Italy made a very poor start to their qualifying campaign, losing 3-0 to Norway on Friday, but Spelletti has promised changes for this match, and given the class in their ranks, they are still favoured to qualify from Group I.
Moldova have lost their first two games in this competition and barely laid a finger on Poland in their warm-up match on Friday night. We feel they’ll struggle to make much of an impact in this one as well. Our Italy vs Moldova prediction is Italy wins & BTTS (NO).
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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