Tip Italy - Liechtenstein
After failing to reach the 2018 World Cup finals and the semi-finals of the Nations League, Italy dare not miss out on qualifying for Euro 2020. They got their campaign off to a good start with a win over Finland on Saturday evening. This home match against Liechtenstein is another ideal opportunity to get three points but tougher games against Greece, Bosna and Herzegovina lie ahead later in the group. Italy came second behind Portugal in the Nations League but four games only saw them score twice and concede twice. Italy haven't been scoring too many goals of late but as long as they qualify for the finals, they probably won't care how many they score.
Liechtenstein finished bottom of their League D group earlier in the season. They trailed behind Macedonia, Armenia and Gibraltar and lost all three of their away games against the lower-ranked opposition. Liechtenstein have only won two of their last 30 games with victories over Iraq and Gibraltar. Only one of their last 17 away games have ended in a victory and in Euro qualifiers, 29 away games has seen them with just one win in Moldova and one goal in the last eight. Their last two games against Italy have both been lost by an aggregate score of 9-0. Saturday saw them open their Euro qualifying campaign with a home loss to Greece.
Key points Italy - Liechtenstein
The last 17 Italy games have all had under 4.5 goals scored in them.
There have been under 4.5 goals scored in each of the last 19 Italy Euro qualifiers.
Six of the last seven Liechtenstein away games have had under 4.5 goals scored in them.
Conclusion Italy - Liechtenstein
Italy have a straightforward task in this Euro 2020 qualifier. They already have three points and should have few problems getting three more with a home win over Liechtenstein. Their home form is solid if not spectacular and their opponents rarely win against highly-ranked opposition. Italy don't score that many goals though failing to get more than two in a game for each of the last 17 matches. Go for under 4.5 goals to be scored in this match.
Italy Liechtenstein Prediction published on March 24, 2019