Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
14/01/2026 14:45
Lecce

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan to win to nil

1.57
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 by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions

A second straight game at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium sees title-chasing Inter Milan host relegation-threatened Lecce. It is a tight Serie A title race, and Inter Milan will hope to stretch away when 17th-placed Lecce visits. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Last time out Inter missed a golden chance to go five points clear as they drew 2-2 with Napoli. Inter will be gutted, having led twice in the game while the champions clawed back for a share of the spoils.

It is a tight title race, and Inter, unbeaten in the last four matches, will also be banking on a great run against Lecce. They won in each of their last 11 matches when hosting Lecce. 

Lecce don’t look like they have the firepower to either stop their poor run against Inter or derail their title charge. Ahead of this fixture, the Giallorossi are winless in four matches, having lost three.

In three of those four games, they faced sides in the current top six and won only one point out of a possible nine. It got even worse for them as they lost their lead and game last time out in a 2-1 defeat at home against Parma.

So far this season Lecce have played nine away matches and managed just two wins. They lost five times on their travels.

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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.18 8 13
Stake
1.2 6.5 15
Melbet
1.15 7.7 18
BC Game
1.16 7.6 15
Tonybet
1.2 7.6 16
Check all Inter Milan vs Lecce odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Lecce?

Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Lecce match is: Inter Milan to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Inter Milan and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.51% for a win of Inter Milan against Lecce with odds of 1.2 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Lecce is 15.87% with odds of 8 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Inter Milan with odds of 21 at Shangrila.

Inter Milan - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:

Inter Milan Lecce Prediction Probability Odds
Inter Milan wins 62.51% 1.2 at Stake
Under 2.5 55.21% 2.45 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 64.58% 1.53 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Inter Milan/Inter Milan 32.64% 1.57 at Bet365

Inter Milan vs Lecce Form

Inter Milan and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
46 20 15 1 4 +26
17
Lecce
Lecce
17 20 4 5 11 -15

Inter Milan and Lecce Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan
L W W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Como 1907

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
5 :  1
Venezia

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Inter Milan

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

6 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Lecce

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Como 1907

12 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  0
Lecce
D W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

6 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Como 1907

12 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Torino FC

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Hellas Verona
W L W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Lecce

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  0
Lecce

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Lecce

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

Inter Milan vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

100 %

Draw

0 %

Lecce

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
0.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Inter Milan

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

25 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Inter Milan

23 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

5 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

13 Aug 2022 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Inter Milan against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
25
M. Akanji
15
F. Acerbi
95
A. Bastoni
17
A. Diouf
23
N. Barella
7
P. Zielinski
22
H. Mkhitaryan
30
C. Augusto
14
A. Bonny
9
M. Thuram
9
N. Stulic
23
R. Sottil
16
O. Gandelman
50
S. Pierotti
93
Y. Maleh
29
L. Coulibaly
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
5
J. Siebert
17
D. Melo Veiga
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Lecce

Substitutes

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

A. Calligaris

A. Taho

Defender

Y. Bisseck

M. Cocchi

S. De Vrij

F. Dimarco

M. Darmian

Midfielder

P. Sucic

M. Thuram 87'

T. Berenbruch

L. Bovo

D. Frattesi

N. Barella 56'

Forward

Luis Henrique

A. Diouf 57'

F. Esposito

A. Bonny 57'

L. Martinez

H. Mkhitaryan 72'

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

C. Kouassi

C. Ndaba

G. Jean

M. Ignacio

Midfielder

F. Marchwinski

A. Sala

Y. Maleh 86'

K. N’Dri

S. Pierotti 82'

M. Kaba

O. Gandelman 69'

O. Gorter

O. Ngom

T. Helgason

Forward

T. Morente

R. Sottil 68'

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

J. Martínez

Defender

D. Dumfries

T. Palacios

Midfielder

H. Calhanoglu

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

K. Gaspar

Midfielder

Y. Ramadani

Forward

L. Banda

M. Berisha

F. Camarda

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast K. N’Dri (2 Goals) Mali L. Coulibaly (2 Goals) Albania M. Berisha (2 Goals) Zambia L. Banda (2 Goals) Serbia N. Stulic (2 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (7 Assists)
Best assists
Albania M. Berisha (3 Assists)

Inter Milan - Lecce Key Points

  1. Lecce failed to score in half of their last 10 matches.
  2. Lecce lost five times in their last eight away games.
  3. Inter are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three.
  4. Inter won all of their last five meetings with Lecce without conceding.
  5. Inter have beaten Lecce in each of the last 11 meetings, conceding just three goals.
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Our Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Inter Milan had a slight blip in their race for the Serie A title last time out. All normalcy is expected to return when they welcome struggling Lecce, a team with just four wins all season. That’s not all; Lecce are the poorest scorers in Serie A with only 13 goals.

They have also had their troubles in this fixture, losing all of their last 11 visits to San Siro when facing Inter. The hosts haven't conceded a lot in this fixture either, and this is a chance for another clean sheet. Our prediction for Inter Milan v Lecce is for Inter Milan to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan to win to nil

1.57
Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Lecce

Inter Milan vs Lecce Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Inter Milan wins 1.17 1.2 +2.6%
Draw 7.2 8 +11.1%
Lecce wins 20 21 +5.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Inter Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 83.3% (-2.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction