Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Inter Milan’s Serie A title hopes will clash with Lazio’s top four qualification chances in the penultimate round of this year’s campaign. This match on Sunday between the second-placed Nerazzurri and the fifth-placed Biancocelesti at San Siro comes with our prediction of a home win. With so much riding on the result for both Inter and Lazio, it’s natural to expect a tight game.
The hosts are only a point behind Napoli at the top of the table, but a loss here combined with a win for Napoli will end their title chances. Even a draw could complicate things, so Inter are likely to be charged up as they aim to retain their title. Lazio are unlikely to be pushed across easily as they are locked in a tight battle to finish fourth. The last qualification spot for next season’s Champions League is out of Lazio’s grasp only on head-to-head record against Juventus. That said, with only four points between teams from fourth to eighth, an adverse result could push Lazio out of European contention altogether.
Will there be another twist in the title race or the European qualification battle? Read further to find our analysis and predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.62 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.25 | 5.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Lazio match is: Inter Milan wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Inter Milan and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.86% for a win of Inter Milan against Lazio with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Lazio is 16.92% with odds of 4.28 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Inter Milan with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
Inter Milan vs Lazio Form
Inter Milan and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
77 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 42 |
|
5
|
64 | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
Inter Milan and Lazio Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
6 May 2025 - Champions League
3 May 2025 - Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2025 - Champions League
3 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
Inter Milan vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Dec 2024 - Serie A
19 May 2024 - Serie A
19 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
17 Dec 2023 - Serie A
30 Apr 2023 - Serie A
Inter Milan - Lazio: Form Analysis
A heavily rotated Inter Milan side defeated Torino 2-0 away from home last weekend to stay in the title race. With Napoli dropping points last matchday, there’s just a point between the top two sides going into the final couple of matches.
That was a third win in a row in all competitions for the Nerazzurri, who will also have to plan for the upcoming Champions League final. They are still likely to play their strongest team to give themselves a chance to retain the league title.
Inter won seven of their last eight home league games.
That is a testimony to their strength at San Siro, and even Lazio have lost four of their last five away league games to Inter. Regardless, Lazio’s recent form is a worry, as they come here after a 1-1 home draw against Juventus, thanks to a last-gasp goal.
That result meant the visitors won only two of their last seven competitive matches, although they lost only two. Their fortunes are mixed in the league too, as Lazio have just three wins from their last nine Serie A matches.
They perhaps fancy being on the road, though, as Lazio won six of their last eight away league trips, including three in a row.
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Inter Milan vs Lazio last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. Pavard
MidfielderD. Frattesi
H. Mkhitaryan
ForwardL. Martinez
Patric
N. Tavares
L. Pellegrini
MidfielderM. Zaccagni
Inter Milan & Lazio Squad Analysis
Inter Milan are boosted by the news that most of their players are available for selection in this crucial fixture. After heavy rotation in their last match, Inter are likely to go back to their favoured first XI.
The only absentee is Lautaro Martinez, with injury likely to keep the Inter captain out of the match. That would leave Marcus Thuram partnering Mehdi Taremi at the top with Marko Arnautovic likely to start on the bench.
Inter could line up in a 3-5-2 formation with Hakan Calhanoglu slotting in the hole behind the strikers. His four assists and 90.3% passing success percentage make him a threat.
Yann Sommer will look to add to his tally of 11 clean sheets.
He has a save percentage of 72.5% but will be tested by Lazio, who are in the hunt for three precious points. The visitors will miss the presence of Luca Pellegrini and Mattia Zaccagni due to suspensions. Gustav Isaksen is also doubtful due to a muscle injury.
The visitors will line up in their 4-2-3-1 formation with Taty Castellanos leading the line. The Argentine forward has ten goals to his name this season and has an average of 3.6 shots per game, of which 2.3 come from the penalty box, making him a scoring threat.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Lazio
L. Martinez
(21 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(14 Goals)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
N. Tavares
(9 Assists)
Inter Milan and Lazio Stats in Serie A
Inter Milan - Lazio Key Points
- Inter won their last three matches in all competitions.
- In Serie A, Inter have won seven of their last eight home matches.
- Lazio could win only four of their last 12 league matches.
- Lazio lost three of their last four Serie A matches against Inter, including a 6-0 thrashing in the reverse fixture.
- Inter won four of their last five home league matches against Lazio.
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Our Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction
Inter Milan are in the middle of a tight battle at the top of Serie A standings; a loss to Lazio here could throw them out of contention for retaining the Scudetto. They were given a lifeline in the last matchday when Napoli dropped points and Inter won despite a heavily rotated lineup. This time around, the Nerazzurri have most of their starters back and should fancy their chances against a side they defeated 6-0 in the reverse fixture. Our Inter Milan vs Lazio prediction is Inter Milan wins the match.
Inter Milan vs Lazio - Other Interesting Predictions
Marcus Thuram to score anytime.
Marcus Thuram was rested for the match against Torino but should return to the starting lineup here. The forward has scored against Lazio in the reverse fixture and has three goals against them in four matches in all competitions. He could be a good pick to find the net once again.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Inter Milan vs. Lazio game!
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Inter Milan vs Lazio match : Frequently asked questions
The Inter Milan v Lazio Italian Serie A match will be live on DAZN Italy in Italy.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Italian Serie A Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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