Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Inter really should be leading in this Champions League semi-final. The first leg ended 3-3 in Barcelona but the Serie A side led 2-0 and 3-2 in that match. The Black and Blues will aim to get a lead and keep it in this second leg against Barca. Here's our match prediction.
The Italian side will be wishing the away goals rule was still in place after scoring three in Spain. It's not though and that makes the task of reaching their second Champions League final in three years remains a tough one. As you will read in the form guide of this preview, Inter have been struggling for results in the past few weeks. They must have had their confidence boosted by how the first leg progressed.
Barcelona have lost two away games in this season's Champions League. That includes the second leg of their quarter-final against Borussia Dortmund. Barca last reached the final of this competition ten years ago. They would have loved to be arriving in Milan with a lead but after going 2-0 down in the first leg, a 3-3 draw was a good result in the end. They remain on course for a treble of winning La Liga, Copa del Rey and Champions League.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.9 | 2.15 |
|
|
3 | 3.75 | 2.1 |
|
|
3 | 2.8 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.09 | 4.01 | 2.23 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Barcelona match is: Barcelona wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/05/2025 between Inter Milan and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.2% for a win of Inter Milan against Barcelona with odds of 3.09 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Barcelona is 17.35% with odds of 4.01 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Inter Milan with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
Inter Milan vs Barcelona Form
Inter Milan and Barcelona Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
Inter Milan vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Oct 2022 - Champions League
4 Oct 2022 - Champions League
10 Dec 2019 - Champions League
2 Oct 2019 - Champions League
6 Nov 2018 - Champions League
Inter Milan - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Barcelona have been showing plenty of fight in their last three games. The La Liga side haven't had much choice as they have trailed in each of those matches. The most recent occurrence was at the weekend when they came from behind to win 2-1 at Real Valladolid.
That victory kept them seven points clear at the top of La Liga. The win also extended their unbeaten run to five games since losing 3-1 at Borussia Dortmund in the last round of the 2024-25 Champions League.
The loss in Germany is their only away loss in 18 games and nine of the last ten have been won. They have won four away matches in this season's Champions League but lost at Monaco and Dortmund.
Inter have ended their winless run.
The weekend saw Inter beat Verona 1-0 at home. That ended a run of five matches without a win. It wasn't the most convincing of wins though and their winner came from the penalty spot after just nine minutes.
That win did keep them in touch with Serie A leaders Napoli but they are still three points behind the leaders.
The Black and Blues have won five of their six games, the other being the 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich in the last eight. They are unbeaten in their last seven games in this competition but drawn the last two.
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Inter Milan vs Barcelona last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
B. Pavard
ForwardL. Martinez
A. Balde
J. Kounde
MidfielderM. Bernal
M. Casado
ForwardR. Lewandowski
Inter Milan & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Inter have received a massive blow to their hopes of reaching the Champions League final. Top scorer Lautaro Martinez is out of this match after injuring his hamstring in last week's first leg. He has scored eight goals in this season's Champions League, including four in the last three at home.
Marko Arnautovic or Mehdi Taremi are expected to be his replacement. Marcus Thuram will be even more on his shoulders on Tuesday and he will hope to score again as he did in the first leg.
Inter overindulged in their squad rotation for that weekend win over Verona. That was a big risk considering they are still very much in the hunt for the Serie A title. Hakan Calhanoglu missed that game through suspension but the influential midfielder will be back for this game. They will be looking for more goals from Denzel Dumfries who scored two of Inter's goals in the first leg.
Barcelona also went down the squad rotation route at the weekend. Raphinha started on the bench but with his side losing, Hansi Flick brought him on after 46 minutes and he scored just eight minutes later.
Lewandowski may feature in this match.
Raphinha has scored 12 goals in this season's Champions League but has failed to score in his last two. Robert Lewandowski has 11 Champions League goals this season and could be on the bench for this game after recovering from his recent injury.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Barcelona
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
,
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
L. Yamal
(15 Assists)
, 
Raphinha
(15 Assists)
Inter Milan and Barcelona Stats in Champions League
Inter Milan - Barcelona Key Points
- Barcelona have won nine of their last ten away matches.
- Inter have only won one of their last five matches.
- Barcelona have only lost one of their last 30 games in all competitions.
- Inter will be without their top scorer Lautaro Martinez.
- Barcelona have won four of their last five Champions League away games with 15 goals being scored.
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Our Inter Milan vs Barcelona Prediction
Barcelona fought back well to earn a 3-3 draw with Inter in the first leg of this Champions League semi-final. It was looking bleak for them when going 2-0 down inside 21 minutes. Both clubs won at the weekend but with much-changed line-ups.
The big guns will be back for this game but Inter will be without Martinez and that is a big blow for them. Barca meanwhile may have Lewandowski available again and he could prove to be a great second half sub. That could be very influential in this match. Our main Inter Milan v Barcelona prediction is Barcelona wins the match.
Inter Milan vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Barcelona to score a penalty in the match
Raphinha to score for Barcelona
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Inter Milan vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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