Inter Milan vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Inter Milan
06/05/2025 15:00
Barcelona

Prediction :

 

Barcelona wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions

Inter really should be leading in this Champions League semi-final. The first leg ended 3-3 in Barcelona but the Serie A side led 2-0 and 3-2 in that match. The Black and Blues will aim to get a lead and keep it in this second leg against Barca. Here's our match prediction.

The Italian side will be wishing the away goals rule was still in place after scoring three in Spain. It's not though and that makes the task of reaching their second Champions League final in three years remains a tough one. As you will read in the form guide of this preview, Inter have been struggling for results in the past few weeks. They must have had their confidence boosted by how the first leg progressed.

Barcelona have lost two away games in this season's Champions League. That includes the second leg of their quarter-final against Borussia Dortmund. Barca last reached the final of this competition ten years ago. They would have loved to be arriving in Milan with a lead but after going 2-0 down in the first leg, a 3-3 draw was a good result in the end.  They remain on course for a treble of winning La Liga, Copa del Rey and Champions League.

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Inter Milan vs Barcelona Form

Inter Milan and Barcelona Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
D L L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

30 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Inter Milan

16 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

16 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

12 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Cagliari

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Udinese
W D D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Inter Milan

8 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
Inter Milan

2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan
Barcelona
Barcelona Last matches
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
1 :  2
Barcelona

30 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Celta Vigo

15 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona
D W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Celta Vigo

9 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  1
Betis
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
1 :  2
Barcelona

15 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona

12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Barcelona

2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

5 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

Inter Milan vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

17 %

Draw

50 %

Barcelona

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

30 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

12 Oct 2022 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

4 Oct 2022 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Barcelona

10 Dec 2019 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Barcelona

2 Oct 2019 - Champions League

Barcelona
2 :  1
Inter Milan

6 Nov 2018 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Barcelona

Inter Milan - Barcelona: Form Analysis

Barcelona have been showing plenty of fight in their last three games. The La Liga side haven't had much choice as they have trailed in each of those matches. The most recent occurrence was at the weekend when they came from behind to win 2-1 at Real Valladolid.

That victory kept them seven points clear at the top of La Liga. The win also extended their unbeaten run to five games since losing 3-1 at Borussia Dortmund in the last round of the 2024-25 Champions League.

The loss in Germany is their only away loss in 18 games and nine of the last ten have been won. They have won four away matches in this season's Champions League but lost at Monaco and Dortmund.

Inter have ended their winless run.

The weekend saw Inter beat Verona 1-0 at home.  That ended a run of five matches without a win. It wasn't the most convincing of wins though and their winner came from the penalty spot after just nine minutes.

That win did keep them in touch with Serie A leaders Napoli but they are still three points behind the leaders.

The Black and Blues have won five of their six games, the other being the 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich in the last eight. They are unbeaten in their last seven games in this competition but drawn the last two.

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Inter Milan against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
31
Y. Bisseck
15
F. Acerbi
95
A. Bastoni
2
D. Dumfries
23
N. Barella
20
H. Calhanoglu
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
10
L. Martinez
9
M. Thuram
7
F. Torres
11
Raphinha
20
D. Olmo
19
L. Yamal
8
Pedri
21
F. De Jong
35
G. Martin
5
I. Martinez
2
P. Cubarsi
24
E. Garcia
25
W. Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Barcelona

Substitutes

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

J. Martinez

Defender

G. Re Cecconi

C. Augusto

F. Dimarco 55'

M. Darmian

Y. Bisseck 71'

S. de Vrij

D. Dumfries 108'

Midfielder

K. Asllani

N. Zalewski

P. Zielinski

H. Calhanoglu 79'

D. Frattesi

H. Mkhitaryan 79'

Forward

M. Taremi

L. Martinez 71'

M. Arnautovic

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

I. Pena

A. Astralaga

Defender

R. Araujo

I. Martinez 76'

A. Christensen

L. Farre

H. Fort

E. Garcia 98'

Midfielder

Gavi

P. Cubarsi 106'

N. Darvich

F. Lopez

D. Olmo 83'

Forward

P. Victor

Pedri 106'

A. Fati

R. Lewandowski

F. Torres 90'

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

B. Pavard

Midfielder

V. Carboni

Barcelona
Barcelona
Defender

J. Kounde

A. Balde

Midfielder

M. Casado

M. Bernal

Inter Milan & Barcelona Squad Analysis

Inter have received a massive blow to their hopes of reaching the Champions League final. Top scorer Lautaro Martinez is out of this match after injuring his hamstring in last week's first leg. He has scored eight goals in this season's Champions League, including four in the last three at home.

Marko Arnautovic or Mehdi Taremi are expected to be his replacement.  Marcus Thuram will be even more on his shoulders on Tuesday and he will hope to score again as he did in the first leg.

Inter overindulged in their squad rotation for that weekend win over Verona.  That was a big risk considering they are still very much in the hunt for the Serie A title. Hakan Calhanoglu missed that game through suspension but the influential midfielder will be back for this game. They will be looking for more goals from Denzel Dumfries who scored two of Inter's goals in the first leg.

Barcelona also went down the squad rotation route at the weekend. Raphinha started on the bench but with his side losing, Hansi Flick brought him on after 46 minutes and he scored just eight minutes later. 

Lewandowski may feature in this match.

Raphinha has scored 12 goals in this season's Champions League but has failed to score in his last two. Robert Lewandowski has 11 Champions League goals this season and could be on the bench for this game after recovering from his recent injury.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Raphinha (13 Goals)
Best assists
Iran M. Taremi (3 Assists)
Netherlands D. Dumfries (3 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Raphinha (7 Assists)

Inter Milan - Barcelona Key Points

  1. Barcelona have won nine of their last ten away matches.
  2. Inter have only won one of their last five matches.
  3. Barcelona have only lost one of their last 30 games in all competitions.
  4. Inter will be without their top scorer Lautaro Martinez.
  5. Barcelona have won four of their last five Champions League away games with 15 goals being scored.
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Our Inter Milan vs Barcelona Prediction

Barcelona fought back well to earn a 3-3 draw with Inter in the first leg of this Champions League semi-final. It was looking bleak for them when going 2-0 down inside 21 minutes. Both clubs won at the weekend but with much-changed line-ups.

The big guns will be back for this game but Inter will be without Martinez and that is a big blow for them. Barca meanwhile may have Lewandowski available again and he could prove to be a great second half sub. That could be very influential in this match. Our main Inter Milan v Barcelona prediction is Barcelona wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Barcelona wins

 
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Inter Milan vs Barcelona Alternative Predictions

Barcelona to score a penalty in the match

Odds 5.5
Barcelona have scored three penalties in this season's Champions League, two in away matches.
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Raphinha to score for Barcelona

Odds 2.5
Raphinha has scored 12 goals in this season's Champions League. He was on target again at the weekend
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Inter Milan vs Barcelona - FAQs

This Champions League semi-final second leg is being played on Tuesday May 6. It is due to kick-off at 20:00 UK time.
This is the home leg for Inter and will be played at the San Siro in Milan. Intere are yet to lose a home Champions League game this season.
This match will be shown live on Amazon Prime and a subscription is required. If you want to keep up to date with all that's happening in the match, go to our Champions League livescore to read updated statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Barcelona Prediction