Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
South America - Copa Libertadores
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Independiente Medellin will play host to Flamengo at El Atanasio on Matchday 4 of the Copa Libertadores. El Equipo del Pueblo are in third place, while Mengao lead the Group A standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Independiente Medellin have experienced a mixed start to their Copa Libertadores, splitting their first three games, one win, one draw and one defeat, which sees them enter MD4 on four points.
The People’s Team notched up their first win of the campaign last week against Cusco 1-0. However, they lost to Aguilas in their domestic league in midweek, which ended their four-game win streak in all competitions.
Prior to that defeat, this week’s hosts had kept clean sheets in each of their previous three home games. They also held Estudiantes to a 1-1 draw at this venue in their opening match of this competition.
Meanwhile, Flamengo have made a solid start to their Copa Libertadores title defence, currently one of only four teams in the competition still unbeaten after the first three matches.
Rubro-Negro were held to a 1-1 draw by Estudiantes last week, but they are now unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions and scored two or more goals in eight of those games.
The visitors are also unbeaten in their last four away games and are the joint-highest goal scorers in this competition with seven goals in three games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Independiente Medellin v Flamengo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.45 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.52 | 3.46 | 1.84 |
|
|
4.72 | 3.52 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.5 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Independiente Medellin and Flamengo?
Our prediction for the Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo match is: Flamengo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/05/2026 between Independiente Medellin and Flamengo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.45% for a win of Independiente Medellin against Flamengo with odds of 4.8 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo is 24.24% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin with odds of 1.86 at Tonybet.
Independiente Medellin - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Independiente Medellin Flamengo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 50.31% | 1.86 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.86% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Flamengo/Flamengo | 24.09% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Form
Independiente Medellin and Flamengo's standings in the Copa Libertadores
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 |
Independiente Medellin and Flamengo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
22 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
22 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
23 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
13 Mar 2026 - U20 Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Independiente Medellin against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Ichazo
DefenderH. Palacios
L. Escorcia Urieta
A. Davila
M. Palacios
MidfielderD. Catano
D. Moreno Quintero
B. Perlaza Perlaza
ForwardF. Chaverra
G. Mancilla
J. Montano
Andrew
D. Alves
DefenderA. Lucas
Vitao
G. Varela
L. Ortiz
MidfielderN. de la Cruz
S. Niguez
Luiz Felipe
ForwardPedro
G. Plata
Everton
Most goals and assists
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
F. Fydriszewski
(2 Goals)
B. Pinto
(4 Goals)
D. Catano
(1 Assists)
,
A. Serna Romana
(1 Assists)
,
J. Montano
(1 Assists)
,
Y. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
,
F. Chaverra
(1 Assists)
,
H. Loboa
(1 Assists)
A. Lucas
(2 Assists)
,
B. Pinto
(2 Assists)
Independiente Medellin - Flamengo Key Points
- Independiente Medellin have only won four of their last nine games in all competitions.
- Independiente Medellin lost 4-1 to this opponent in their only previous encounter (last season).
- Flamengo are unbeaten in their last nine games in all competitions.
- Flamengo have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine matches.
- Flamengo are the joint-highest scoring team in the Copa Libertadores this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Prediction
Independiente Medellin managed to notch up their first win of the Copa Libertadores last week, but they now face a much tougher opponent, who beat them fairly comfortably in this competition last season.
Flamengo would have been disappointed to drop points to Estudiantes last week, but they are still unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions, and we fancy them to extend that record with another victory in this one. Our Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo prediction is Flamengo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Independiente Medellin Flamengo
| Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin wins | 4.1 | 4.8 | +17.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.6 | -4.0% |
| Flamengo wins | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 53.8% (-0.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Independiente Medellin vs. Flamengo game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Independiente Medellin and Flamengo? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Copa Libertadores! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
